Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salernitana
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 2 |
Frosinone
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |
Empoli
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 |
Spal
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |
Venezia
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |
Lecce
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |
Cittadella
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 17 |
| 8 |
Chievo
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 9 |
Monza
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 |
Reggiana
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |
Brescia
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 13 |
| 12 | Pordenone | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +0 | 13 |
| 13 |
Pisa
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Vicenza
|
10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +0 | 12 |
| 15 |
Reggina
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |
Pescara
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |
Ascoli
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Pisa
Empoli
Pescara
Monza
Chievo
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.