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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Genoa

S T S T U

1–3

Full-time

Juventus

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

21%

79%

Points per game

0,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

75%

68%

Both score Ø 65%

68%

61%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,9

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

2 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

5 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 16. · Juventus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	28	22	3	3	+32	69
2	Lazio	29	21	5	3	+38	68
3	Inter	28	18	7	3	+27	61
4	Atalanta	28	17	6	5	+41	57
5	Roma	28	14	6	8	+15	48
6	Napoli	28	13	6	9	+9	45
7	Milan	28	12	6	10	-1	42
8	Parma	28	11	6	11	+3	39
9	Verona	28	10	9	9	+2	39
10	Cagliari	28	10	8	10	+3	38
11	Bologna	28	10	7	11	-5	37
12	Sassuolo	28	9	7	12	-1	34
13	Fiorentina	28	7	10	11	-5	31
14	Torino	29	9	4	16	-19	31
15	Udinese	28	7	7	14	-18	28
16	Genoa	28	6	8	14	-19	26
17	Sampdoria	28	7	5	16	-19	26
18	Lecce	28	6	7	15	-29	25
19	Brescia	28	4	6	18	-27	18
20	Spal	28	5	3	20	-27	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	13	1	0	+25	40
2	Lazio	15	12	3	0	+30	39
3	Inter	14	8	5	1	+14	29
4	Atalanta	14	8	2	4	+18	26
5	Roma	14	7	3	4	+8	24
6	Verona	14	7	3	4	+4	24
7	Sassuolo	14	6	2	6	+6	20
8	Cagliari	14	6	2	6	+4	20
9	Napoli	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Milan	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Parma	14	6	1	7	+4	19
12	Udinese	14	5	4	5	-3	19
13	Torino	15	5	3	7	-11	18
14	Bologna	14	4	5	5	-4	17
15	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-7	16
16	Fiorentina	14	3	6	5	-4	15
17	Genoa	13	4	1	8	-7	13
18	Lecce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
19	Spal	13	2	2	9	-10	8
20	Brescia	14	1	4	9	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+13	32
2	Atalanta	14	9	4	1	+23	31
3	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+8	29
4	Juventus	14	9	2	3	+7	29
5	Napoli	14	7	4	3	+8	25
6	Roma	14	7	3	4	+7	24
7	Milan	14	7	1	6	-1	22
8	Bologna	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Parma	14	5	5	4	-1	20
10	Cagliari	14	4	6	4	-1	18
11	Fiorentina	14	4	4	6	-1	16
12	Verona	14	3	6	5	-2	15
13	Sassuolo	14	3	5	6	-7	14
14	Lecce	14	4	2	8	-19	14
15	Torino	14	4	1	9	-8	13
16	Genoa	15	2	7	6	-12	13
17	Brescia	14	3	2	9	-15	11
18	Sampdoria	13	3	1	9	-12	10
19	Spal	15	3	1	11	-17	10
20	Udinese	14	2	3	9	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.