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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Cardiff
T U S S S
0–0
Full-time
Charlton
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Championship · 38/39 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
53%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 5. · Charlton 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 39 22 8 9 +27 74
2 West Brom 39 19 14 6 +26 71
3 Nott'm Forest 39 17 13 9 +12 64
4 Fulham 37 18 9 10 +10 63
5 Cardiff 38 15 14 9 +6 59
6 Brentford 36 16 9 11 +28 57
7 Swansea 38 14 15 9 +8 57
8 Preston 39 16 9 14 +3 57
9 Derby 39 15 12 12 +2 57
10 Blackburn 39 15 11 13 +7 56
11 Millwall 40 13 17 10 +3 56
12 Bristol City 39 15 10 14 -5 55
13 Sheffield Weds 39 14 10 15 -2 52
14 QPR 39 14 8 17 -6 50
15 Reading 39 13 10 16 +3 49
16 Birmingham 39 12 13 14 -9 49
17 Wigan 39 12 11 16 -8 47
18 Charlton 39 12 9 18 -8 45
19 Middlesbrough 39 10 14 15 -11 44
20 Stoke 39 12 7 20 -8 43
21 Hull 39 11 9 19 -15 42
22 Huddersfield 39 11 9 19 -17 42
23 Luton 39 11 6 22 -27 39
24 Barnsley 39 9 11 19 -19 38

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Charlton
36′
🔁 D. Pratley
↦ S. Field
C. Paterson 🔁
↦ R. Glatzel
45′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 M. Bonne
↦ C. Aneke
63′
🔁 A. Oshilaja
↦ G. Lapslie
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ N. Mendez-Laing
65′
L. Tomlin 🔁
↦ L. Bacuna
65′
Dion Sanderson 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 A. Morgan
↦ J. Forster-Caskey
80′
🔁 B. Purrington
↦ A. Green
83′
🟨 Ben Purrington
W. Vaulks 🔁
↦ J. Ralls
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-3-3
12 A. Smithies
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
16 C. Nelson D
2 D. Sanderson D
14 A. Adomah F
7 L. Bacuna M
15 M. Pack M
8 J. Ralls M
19 N. Mendez-Laing F
9 R. Glatzel F
Bench (9)
13 C. Paterson
33 J. Hoilett
17 L. Tomlin
6 W. Vaulks
5 A. Flint
24 B. Smith
20 G. Whyte
22 S. Bamba
1 N. Etheridge

Coach: N. Harris

Charlton

3-5-2
1 D. Phillips G
6 J. Pearce D
23 N. Sarr D
5 T. Lockyer D
8 J. Forster-Caskey M
10 C. Aneke F
24 J. Cullen M
28 S. Field M
32 G. Lapslie M
45 A. Doughty M
18 A. Green F
Bench (9)
15 D. Pratley
17 M. Bonne
4 A. Oshilaja
19 A. Morgan
3 B. Purrington
44 J. Davison
7 J. Williams
14 A. McGeady
13 B. Amos

Coach: L. Bowyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U ✓
3,54
B
4,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.