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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Mattersburg

T T S U T

4–1

Full-time

Tirol

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mattersburg Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 22%

23%

20%

Points per game

0,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

60%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

57%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

5 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mattersburg 11. · Tirol 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	30	20	8	2	+70	68
2	LASK	30	20	4	6	+35	64
3	SK Rapid	30	16	7	7	+21	55
4	Wolfsberger AC	30	14	8	8	+24	50
5	Austria Vienna	30	10	11	9	+0	41
6	Altach	30	10	8	12	-5	38
7	Hartberg	30	11	5	14	-25	38
8	Sturm Graz	30	10	5	15	-8	35
9	St. Polten	30	6	10	14	-31	28
10	Admira	30	6	9	15	-25	27
11	Mattersburg	30	7	6	17	-27	27
12	Tirol	30	6	7	17	-29	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	12	2	1	+38	38
2	LASK	15	7	3	5	+13	24
3	Wolfsberger AC	15	6	5	4	+12	23
4	SK Rapid	15	6	4	5	+5	22
5	Austria Vienna	15	6	4	5	+0	22
6	Altach	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Hartberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
8	Sturm Graz	15	4	2	9	-7	14
9	St. Polten	15	2	6	7	-20	12
10	Admira	15	2	4	9	-15	10
11	Mattersburg	15	2	3	10	-17	9
12	Tirol	15	2	3	10	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	15	13	1	1	+22	40
2	SK Rapid	15	10	3	2	+16	33
3	Salzburg	15	8	6	1	+32	30
4	Wolfsberger AC	15	8	3	4	+12	27
5	Sturm Graz	15	6	3	6	-1	21
6	Hartberg	15	6	2	7	-15	20
7	Austria Vienna	15	4	7	4	+0	19
8	Altach	15	5	3	7	-6	18
9	Mattersburg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
10	Admira	15	4	5	6	-10	17
11	Tirol	15	4	4	7	-7	16
12	St. Polten	15	4	4	7	-11	16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.