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Serie A
Referee: Marco Di Bello
Juventus
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Genoa
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
80%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
70%
25%
Both score Ø 40%
45%
35%
Average goals
3,2
1,9
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 2. · Genoa 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 21 17 3 1 +32 54
2 Juventus 20 16 2 2 +34 50
3 Lazio 20 13 4 3 +28 43
4 Inter 21 12 7 2 +20 43
5 Roma 20 12 4 4 +16 40
6 Sampdoria 20 10 3 7 +9 33
7 Milan 21 9 4 8 -1 31
8 Atalanta 21 8 6 7 +4 30
9 Udinese 20 9 2 9 +6 29
10 Torino 21 6 11 4 +1 29
11 Fiorentina 21 7 7 7 +6 28
12 Bologna 21 8 3 10 -4 27
13 Chievo 21 5 7 9 -16 22
14 Sassuolo 21 6 4 11 -17 22
15 Genoa 20 5 6 9 -6 21
16 Cagliari 21 6 2 13 -14 20
17 Crotone 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Spal 21 3 7 11 -17 16
19 Verona 21 3 4 14 -26 13
20 Benevento 21 2 1 18 -33 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Aug -17 Genoa – Juventus 2–4 23. Apr -17 Juventus – Genoa 4–0 27. Nov -16 Genoa – Juventus 3–1 3. Feb -16 Juventus – Genoa 1–0 20. Sep -15 Genoa – Juventus 0–2

Match report

Juventus Genoa
1–0 Douglas Costa ⚽
M. Mandžukić
16′
25′
🟨 Nicolás Spolli
44′
🟨 Aleandro Rosi
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Galabinov
↦ L. Rigoni
Alex Sandro 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 D. Lazović
↦ A. Taarabt
S. Sturaro 🔁
↦ S. Khedira
70′
72′
🟨 Goran Pandev
K. Asamoah 🔁
↦ Alex Sandro
76′
78′
🔁 G. Lapadula
↦ G. Pandev
A. Barzagli 🔁
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
83′
84′
🟨 Mattia Perin
85′
🟨 Andrej Gălăbinov
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juventus

4-3-3
23 W. Szczęsny G
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
4 M. Benatia D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
14 B. Matuidi M
6 S. Khedira M
5 M. Pjanić M
11 Douglas Costa M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
Bench (8)
27 S. Sturaro
22 K. Asamoah
15 A. Barzagli
2 M. De Sciglio
16 C. Pinsoglio
30 R. Bentancur
33 F. Bernardeschi
35 L. Loria

Coach: M. Allegri

Genoa

3-5-2
1 M. Perin G
20 A. Rosi M
2 N. Spolli D
13 L. Rossettini D
5 A. Izzo D
11 A. Taarabt F
30 L. Rigoni M
8 A. Bertolacci M
93 D. Laxalt M
40 S. Omeonga M
19 G. Pandev F
Bench (12)
16 A. Galabinov
22 D. Lazović
10 G. Lapadula
3 S. Gentiletti
4 I. Cofie
14 D. Biraschi
21 P. Brlek
23 E. Lamanna
33 L. Landre
38 L. Zima
44 Miguel Veloso
64 P. Pellegri

Coach: D. Ballardini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.