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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Ath Bilbao
U U T U T
3–2
Full-time
Betis
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 42%
24%
59%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
18%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
47%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 12. · Betis 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 17 13 3 1 +24 42
2 Sevilla 17 11 4 2 +16 37
3 Betis 17 10 3 4 +12 33
4 Vallecano 18 9 3 6 +8 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 8 5 4 +8 29
6 Sociedad 18 8 5 5 +0 29
7 Barcelona 17 7 6 4 +7 27
8 Valencia 17 6 7 4 +3 25
9 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -1 23
10 Villarreal 17 5 7 5 +3 22
11 Osasuna 17 5 7 5 -4 22
12 Ath Bilbao 17 4 9 4 +1 21
13 Celta 18 5 5 8 -2 20
14 Mallorca 18 4 8 6 -10 20
15 Granada 17 4 7 6 -4 19
16 Elche 18 3 6 9 -9 15
17 Alaves 17 4 3 10 -11 15
18 Cadiz 17 2 7 8 -16 13
19 Getafe 17 2 6 9 -9 12
20 Levante 17 0 8 9 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Betis
1–0 Williams
Muniain
2′
Iñaki Williams ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
3′
6′
Juanmi 1–1
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Nabil Fekir
52′
N. Fekir 1–2
William Carvalho
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Mikel Vesga
55′
De Marcos 🔁
↦ Lekue
55′
Oier Zarraga 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Guido Rodríguez
67′
🔁 Edgar González
↦ G. Rodríguez
Oihan Sancet 🔁
↦ Raúl García
69′
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ Muniain
69′
2–2 Williams
Oihan Sancet
72′
77′
🔁 Rodri
↦ Juanmi
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Nico Williams
82′
83′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ William Carvalho
83′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ Willian José
83′
🔁 Juan Miranda
↦ Álex Moreno
3–2 De Marcos
Oihan Sancet
89′
91′
🟨 Juan Miranda
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
26 Julen Agirrezabala G
24 Balenziaga D
5 Yeray D
15 Lekue D
3 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García F
6 Mikel Vesga M
16 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
30 Nico Williams M
Bench (9)
19 Oier Zarraga
18 De Marcos
8 Oihan Sancet
7 Álex Berenguer
11 Jon Morcillo
31 Aitor Paredes
13 Jokin Ezkieta
2 Alex Petxarroman
21 Capa

Coach: Marcelino

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
6 Víctor Ruíz D
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
19 Bellerín D
10 Sergio Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi M
8 N. Fekir M
Bench (11)
3 Edgar González
28 Rodri
17 Joaquín
9 Borja Iglesias
33 Juan Miranda
11 Tello
1 Joel Robles
24 Aitor Ruibal
27 Rober
25 C. Bravo
20 D. Lainez

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,27
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.