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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Verona
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Fiorentina
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
72%
78%
Both score Ø 70%
78%
61%
Average goals
3,6
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
6 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 13. · Fiorentina 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 18 13 4 1 +33 43
2 Napoli 18 12 3 3 +22 39
3 Milan 18 12 3 3 +16 39
4 Atalanta 19 11 5 3 +14 38
5 Juventus 19 10 4 5 +10 34
6 Roma 18 10 1 7 +10 31
7 Fiorentina 18 10 1 7 +9 31
8 Lazio 19 9 4 6 +5 31
9 Empoli 18 8 3 7 -2 27
10 Bologna 19 8 3 8 -4 27
11 Torino 18 7 4 7 +5 25
12 Sassuolo 19 6 6 7 -1 24
13 Verona 18 6 5 7 +2 23
14 Udinese 18 4 8 6 -2 20
15 Sampdoria 18 5 4 9 -8 19
16 Venezia 19 4 5 10 -16 17
17 Spezia 18 3 4 11 -21 13
18 Genoa 19 1 8 10 -18 11
19 Cagliari 19 1 7 11 -23 10
20 Salernitana 18 2 2 14 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Fiorentina
1–0 K. Lasagna
G. Caprari
17′
Half-time 1–0
Ivan Ilić 🟨
46′
Gianluca Caprari 🟨
46′
Daniel Bessa 🔁
↦ Miguel Veloso
46′
46′
🔁 G. Castrovilli
↦ G. Bonaventura
63′
🔁 R. Saponara
↦ R. Sottil
70′
🔁 José Callejón
↦ R. Saponara
70′
🔁 Odriozola
↦ L. Venuti
M. Hongla 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
80′
M. Cancellieri 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
80′
81′
G. Castrovilli 1–1
A. Terzić
84′
🟨 Aleksa Terzić
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-2-1
96 L. Montipò G
5 D. Faraoni M
16 N. Casale D
31 B. Šutalo D
4 Miguel Veloso M
8 D. Lazović M
61 A. Tameze D
14 I. Ilić M
10 G. Caprari F
99 G. Simeone F
11 K. Lasagna F
Bench (9)
24 Daniel Bessa
78 M. Hongla
18 M. Cancellieri
32 A. Ragusa
22 A. Berardi
42 D. Coppola
20 K. Rüegg
15 M. Çetin
1 I. Pandur

Coach: I. Tudor

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
23 L. Venuti D
17 A. Terzić D
98 Igor D
4 N. Milenković D
5 G. Bonaventura M
32 A. Duncan M
18 L. Torreira M
9 D. Vlahović F
22 N. González F
33 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
10 G. Castrovilli
8 R. Saponara
7 José Callejón
29 Odriozola
15 E. Pulgar
2 L. Martínez
14 Y. Maleh
31 M. Cerofolini
25 A. Rosati
91 A. Kokorin
55 M. Nastasić
24 M. Benassi

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U ✓
3,45
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.