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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

S T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

1,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 1

29 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajaccio 20. · Dunkerque 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Niort	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Paris FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Grenoble	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Sochaux	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Troyes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Valenciennes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Le Havre	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Caen	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Rodez	5	2	2	1	-1	8
10	Dunkerque	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Clermont	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Amiens	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Chambly	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Nancy	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Chateauroux	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Pau FC	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Valenciennes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Rodez	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Niort	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Caen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Paris FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Chambly	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Chateauroux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Niort	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sochaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Caen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nancy	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Chateauroux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Grenoble	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Rodez	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Chambly	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Valenciennes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.