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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Levante
S S U T U
3–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
38%
8%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
69%
46%
Both score Ø 73%
69%
77%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levante 11. · Ath Bilbao 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 8 4 2 +18 28
2 Sevilla 14 8 3 3 +11 27
3 Ath Madrid 14 6 7 1 +8 25
4 Alaves 14 7 3 4 +4 24
5 Real Madrid 14 7 2 5 +3 23
6 Girona 14 5 6 3 +1 21
7 Espanol 14 6 3 5 +1 21
8 Getafe 14 5 5 4 +4 20
9 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
10 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
11 Levante 13 5 3 5 -1 18
12 Eibar 14 5 3 6 -4 18
13 Celta 14 4 5 5 +3 17
14 Valencia 14 3 8 3 +0 17
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 14 4 4 6 -4 16
17 Villarreal 14 3 5 6 -3 14
18 Ath Bilbao 13 1 8 4 -6 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 14 1 4 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Ath Bilbao
José Campaña 🟨
23′
40′
🟨 Aritz Aduriz
40′
🟨 Unai Núñez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Chema
49′
50′
🔁 Susaeta
↦ C. Ganea
2–0 Campaña
59′
Ruben Rochina 🟨
60′
65′
🟨 Iñigo Martínez
N. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Rubén Rochina
68′
3–0 Roger Martí
Campaña
69′
70′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Beñat
E. Boateng 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
71′
75′
🟥 Peru Nolaskoain Esnal
77′
🔁 Ander Capa
↦ Aduriz
84′
🟨 Markel Susaeta
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
88′
90′
🟨 Iker Muniain
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Levante

3-5-2
13 Oier G
3 Toño M
6 Chema D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
Bench (7)
17 N. Vukčević
21 E. Boateng
2 Borja Mayoral
7 M. Simon
12 Coke
22 Luna
25 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Paco López

Ath Bilbao

3-4-1-2
13 Iago Herrerín G
18 De Marcos D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
2 C. Ganea D
3 Unai Núñez D
6 San José M
7 Beñat M
31 Peru Nolaskoain M
20 Aduriz F
10 Muniain F
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
14 Susaeta
22 Raúl García
21 Ander Capa
5 Yeray Álvarez
16 Dani García
23 Unai López
25 Unai Simón

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.