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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Ath Bilbao
T U S T U
1–3
Full-time
Levante
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 24%
27%
21%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
30%
48%
Both score Ø 47%
48%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Levante 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 25 8 0 +64 83
2 Ath Madrid 34 21 9 4 +36 72
3 Real Madrid 33 20 8 5 +44 68
4 Valencia 34 20 6 8 +26 66
5 Betis 34 17 5 12 +1 56
6 Villarreal 33 15 6 12 +5 51
7 Getafe 34 13 9 12 +8 48
8 Sevilla 33 14 6 13 -11 48
9 Girona 34 13 8 13 -6 47
10 Celta 34 12 9 13 +6 45
11 Sociedad 34 12 7 15 +6 43
12 Eibar 34 12 7 15 -10 43
13 Alaves 34 13 2 19 -13 41
14 Ath Bilbao 33 9 13 11 -3 40
15 Leganes 34 11 7 16 -13 40
16 Espanol 34 9 12 13 -12 39
17 Levante 33 7 13 13 -19 34
18 La Coruna 34 6 10 18 -33 28
19 Las Palmas 34 5 6 23 -47 21
20 Malaga 34 5 5 24 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Levante
1–0 Raúl García
8′
Ander Iturraspe 🟨
41′
42′
E. Bardhi 1–1
44′
E. Bardhi 1–2
45′
🟨 Enis Bardhi
Half-time 1–2
Raúl García 🟨
53′
55′
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
Muniain 🔁
↦ Iturraspe
63′
71′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ E. Bardhi
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Susaeta
75′
79′
🔁 Jason
↦ Pedro López
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Balenziaga
83′
84′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ E. Boateng
Unai Núñez 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Jason
90′
José Luis Morales 1–3
Chema
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Kepa G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
12 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
6 San José M
8 Iturraspe M
28 Iñigo Córdoba M
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
10 Muniain
19 Sabin Merino
17 Mikel Rico
5 Yeray Álvarez
7 Beñat
13 Iago Herrerín
15 Lekue

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Levante

4-4-2
13 Oier G
19 Pedro López D
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
15 Sergio Postigo D
6 Chema D
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
8 J. Lerma M
10 E. Bardhi M
21 E. Boateng F
Bench (7)
20 S. Lukić
23 Jason
9 Roger Martí
4 Rober
7 A. Sadiku
27 Koke
30 A. Abeid

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.