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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Real Madrid

S U T S T

3–1

Full-time

Eibar

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

59%

26%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

56% Possession 44%

6 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Eibar 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	28	19	4	5	+36	61
2	Real Madrid	27	16	8	3	+30	56
3	Sevilla	28	14	8	6	+12	50
4	Sociedad	27	14	4	9	+12	46
5	Getafe	28	13	7	8	+11	46
6	Ath Madrid	28	11	13	4	+10	46
7	Valencia	28	11	10	7	-1	43
8	Villarreal	28	12	5	11	+7	41
9	Granada	28	12	5	11	+2	41
10	Ath Bilbao	28	9	11	8	+6	38
11	Osasuna	27	8	10	9	-4	34
12	Levante	28	10	4	14	-8	34
13	Betis	28	8	9	11	-7	33
14	Valladolid	28	7	11	10	-9	32
15	Alaves	28	8	8	12	-10	32
16	Eibar	27	7	6	14	-14	27
17	Celta	28	5	11	12	-13	26
18	Mallorca	28	7	4	17	-20	25
19	Leganes	28	5	8	15	-19	23
20	Espanol	28	5	8	15	-21	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	13	1	0	+33	40
2	Real Madrid	13	9	4	0	+18	31
3	Valencia	15	8	7	0	+11	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	8	5	1	+11	29
5	Granada	14	9	2	3	+9	29
6	Sociedad	13	8	2	3	+15	26
7	Sevilla	14	7	5	2	+8	26
8	Getafe	14	7	4	3	+8	25
9	Ath Bilbao	14	7	4	3	+8	25
10	Levante	13	7	3	3	+7	24
11	Betis	14	7	3	4	+6	24
12	Alaves	14	6	5	3	+7	23
13	Villarreal	13	6	4	3	+9	22
14	Osasuna	14	5	5	4	+0	20
15	Mallorca	15	6	2	7	-2	20
16	Eibar	14	6	1	7	-1	19
17	Celta	14	4	5	5	-3	17
18	Valladolid	13	3	7	3	+1	16
19	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-7	15
20	Espanol	14	2	5	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	7	4	3	+12	25
2	Sevilla	14	7	3	4	+4	24
3	Barcelona	14	6	3	5	+3	21
4	Getafe	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	Sociedad	14	6	2	6	-3	20
6	Villarreal	15	6	1	8	-2	19
7	Ath Madrid	14	3	8	3	-1	17
8	Valladolid	15	4	4	7	-10	16
9	Osasuna	13	3	5	5	-4	14
10	Ath Bilbao	14	2	7	5	-2	13
11	Granada	14	3	3	8	-7	12
12	Espanol	14	3	3	8	-11	12
13	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-12	12
14	Levante	15	3	1	11	-15	10
15	Celta	14	1	6	7	-10	9
16	Betis	14	1	6	7	-13	9
17	Alaves	14	2	3	9	-17	9
18	Leganes	13	1	5	7	-12	8
19	Eibar	13	1	5	7	-13	8
20	Mallorca	13	1	2	10	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.