Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Mainz

T T T U U

1–2

Full-time

Dortmund

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Mainz Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

31%

56%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,16 xG 1,55

38% Possession 62%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 12. · Dortmund 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	10	6	1	+36	+0.6	36
2	RB Leipzig	17	9	5	3	+14	+2.1	32
3	Ein Frankfurt	16	9	3	4	+11	-0.7	30
4	Union Berlin	16	9	3	4	+6	+1.9	30
5	Freiburg	16	9	3	4	+2	-2.0	30
6	Wolfsburg	17	8	5	4	+15	+4.9	29
7	Dortmund	16	9	1	6	+5	+1.2	28
8	M'gladbach	16	6	4	6	+3	-1.0	22
9	Leverkusen	16	6	3	7	+0	+1.0	21
10	FC Koln	17	5	6	6	-2	+2.3	21
11	Werder Bremen	16	6	3	7	-8	-2.9	21
12	Mainz	16	5	5	6	-5	-0.4	20
13	Hoffenheim	17	5	4	8	-2	-0.7	19
14	Stuttgart	17	3	7	7	-9	-0.8	16
15	Bochum	16	5	1	10	-20	+0.6	16
16	Augsburg	16	4	3	9	-9	-1.2	15
17	Hertha	17	3	5	9	-10	-3.5	14
18	Schalke 04	17	2	3	12	-27	-1.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	8	6	2	0	+14	+0.1	20
2	Union Berlin	8	6	2	0	+10	+1.9	20
3	Dortmund	8	6	1	1	+11	+1.2	19
4	Bayern Munich	8	5	3	0	+20	+0.6	18
5	M'gladbach	9	6	0	3	+9	-1.0	18
6	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	1	3	+8	-0.7	16
7	Freiburg	7	5	1	1	+7	–	16
8	Wolfsburg	8	4	3	1	+11	+2.0	15
9	FC Koln	8	4	2	2	+8	+2.9	14
10	Bochum	8	4	1	3	-3	+0.6	13
11	Stuttgart	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.4	12
12	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+6	–	11
13	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	-1	+1.2	11
14	Werder Bremen	8	3	1	4	+1	–	10
15	Hertha	9	2	4	3	-4	-3.0	10
16	Mainz	7	1	4	2	-1	–	7
17	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-15	-2.0	7
18	Augsburg	8	1	2	5	-8	–	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+16	-0.1	18
2	Wolfsburg	9	4	2	3	+4	+3.0	14
3	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	2	1	+3	–	14
4	Freiburg	9	4	2	3	-5	-2.0	14
5	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-4	-0.4	13
6	RB Leipzig	9	3	3	3	+0	+2.0	12
7	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-9	-2.9	11
8	Augsburg	8	3	1	4	-1	-1.2	10
9	Union Berlin	8	3	1	4	-4	–	10
10	Leverkusen	8	3	1	4	-6	+1.0	10
11	Dortmund	8	3	0	5	-6	–	9
12	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	-1.9	8
13	FC Koln	9	1	4	4	-10	-0.6	7
14	M'gladbach	7	0	4	3	-6	–	4
15	Hertha	8	1	1	6	-6	-0.6	4
16	Stuttgart	8	0	4	4	-10	-1.2	4
17	Bochum	8	1	0	7	-17	–	3
18	Schalke 04	8	0	2	6	-12	+0.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.