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Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Augsburg
T T U T T
1–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,3
1,9
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,83 xG 0,30
44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 16. · M'gladbach 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 10 6 1 +36 +0.6 36
2 RB Leipzig 17 9 5 3 +14 +2.1 32
3 Dortmund 17 10 1 6 +6 +1.6 31
4 Ein Frankfurt 16 9 3 4 +11 -0.7 30
5 Union Berlin 16 9 3 4 +6 +1.9 30
6 Freiburg 16 9 3 4 +2 -2.0 30
7 Wolfsburg 17 8 5 4 +15 +4.9 29
8 M'gladbach 16 6 4 6 +3 -1.0 22
9 Leverkusen 16 6 3 7 +0 +1.0 21
10 FC Koln 17 5 6 6 -2 +2.3 21
11 Werder Bremen 16 6 3 7 -8 -2.9 21
12 Mainz 17 5 5 7 -6 -0.8 20
13 Hoffenheim 17 5 4 8 -2 -0.7 19
14 Stuttgart 17 3 7 7 -9 -0.8 16
15 Bochum 16 5 1 10 -20 +0.6 16
16 Augsburg 16 4 3 9 -9 -1.2 15
17 Hertha 17 3 5 9 -10 -3.5 14
18 Schalke 04 17 2 3 12 -27 -1.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg M'gladbach
31′
🟨 Stefan Lainer
Dion Drena Beljo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Neuhaus
↦ C. Kramer
66′
🟨 Alassane Pléa
K. Yeboah 🔁
↦ D. Beljo
66′
75′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ N. Ngoumou
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ A. Maier
81′
N. Dorsch 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
81′
1–0 M. Berisha
K. Yeboah
82′
Niklas Dorsch 🟨
84′
86′
🔁 H. Wolf
↦ S. Lainer
87′
🔁 S. Telalovic
↦ M. Koné
90′
🔁 M. Friedrich
↦ J. Weigl
M. Bauer 🔁
↦ M. Berisha
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
2 R. Gumny D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
19 F. Uduokhai D
3 M. Pedersen D
10 A. Maier M
27 A. Engels M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
9 E. Demirović M
7 D. Beljo F
11 M. Berisha F
Bench (9)
45 K. Yeboah
24 F. Jensen
30 N. Dorsch
23 M. Bauer
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
14 J. Baumgartlinger
20 D. Caligiuri
38 D. Čolina
40 T. Koubek

Coach: E. Maaßen

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
18 S. Lainer D
3 K. Itakura D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaïni D
8 J. Weigl M
17 M. Koné M
19 N. Ngoumou M
6 C. Kramer M
14 A. Pléa M
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
32 F. Neuhaus
7 P. Herrmann
11 H. Wolf
48 S. Telalovic
5 M. Friedrich
29 J. Scally
20 L. Netz
41 J. Olschowsky
24 T. Jantschke

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,04
U
3,56
B
2,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.