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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Ein Frankfurt
T T U S S
0–2
Full-time
Mainz
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
34%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
79%
72%
Both score Ø 63%
66%
59%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
10 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 11. · Mainz 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 21 4 4 +58 67
2 Dortmund 29 18 6 5 +45 60
3 RB Leipzig 29 16 10 3 +43 58
4 M'gladbach 30 17 5 8 +21 56
5 Leverkusen 29 17 5 7 +18 56
6 Wolfsburg 29 11 9 9 +5 42
7 Hoffenheim 29 12 6 11 -8 42
8 Freiburg 30 11 8 11 -2 41
9 Hertha 29 10 8 11 -7 38
10 Schalke 04 29 9 10 10 -12 37
11 Ein Frankfurt 29 10 5 14 -4 35
12 FC Koln 29 10 4 15 -10 34
13 Augsburg 29 8 7 14 -16 31
14 Union Berlin 29 9 4 16 -18 31
15 Mainz 29 8 4 17 -25 28
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 29 6 9 14 -27 27
17 Werder Bremen 29 6 7 16 -32 25
18 Paderborn 29 4 7 18 -29 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
41′
🟨 D. Latza
43′
M. Niakhate 0–1
D. Brosinski
Half-time 0–1
B. Dost 🔁
↦ M. Gacinovic
46′
A. Toure 🔁
↦ T. Chandler
46′
47′
🟨 T. Awoniyi
S. Rode 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 L. Barreiro
T. Chandler 🟨
64′
64′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ P. Kunde Malong
75′
🔁 L. Oztunali
↦ E. Fernandes
75′
🔁 J. Mateta
↦ K. Onisiwo
77′
P. Kunde Malong 0–2
K. Onisiwo
M. Hinteregger 🟨
81′
S. Rode 🔁
↦ J. de Guzman
81′
D. Kohr 🔁
↦ D. Sow
82′
93′
🔁 R. Quaison
↦ A. Szalai
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
1 Kevin Trapp G
3 Stefan Ilsanker D
20 Makoto Hasebe D
13 Martin Hinteregger D
18 Almamy Touré M
28 Dominik Kohr M
17 Sebastian Rode M
10 Filip Kostić M
15 Daichi Kamada F
33 André Silva F
9 Bas Dost F
Bench (9)
32 Frederik Rønnow
19 David Abraham
2 Evan N'Dicka
24 Danny da Costa
22 Timothy Chandler
11 Mijat Gaćinović
8 Djibril Sow
16 Lucas Torró
6 Jonathan de Guzmán

Coach: A. Hütter

Mainz

4-2-3-1
1 Florian Müller G
23 Phillipp Mwene D
4 Jeremiah St. Juste D
19 Moussa Niakhaté D
18 Daniel Brosinski D
35 Leandro Barreiro M
6 Danny Latza M
8 Levin Öztunali M
7 Robin Quaison M
22 Taiwo Awoniyi M
9 Jean-Philippe Mateta F
Bench (9)
37 Finn Gilbert Dahmen
13 Jeffrey Bruma
42 Alexander Hack
3 Aarón Martin Caricol
5 Jean-Paul Boëtius
14 Pierre Kunde
20 Edimilson Fernandes
21 Karim Onisiwo
28 Ádám Szalai

Coach: A. Beierlorzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U
3,65
B ✓
3,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.