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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Lugano

S S S U U

1–1

Full-time

Servette

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

52%

26%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

52%

70%

Both score Ø 68%

61%

74%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,35 xG 1,52

48% Possession 52%

3 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 2. · Servette 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	23	17	1	5	+24	-0.2	52
2	Lugano	23	12	5	6	+11	+1.2	41
3	St. Gallen	22	12	3	7	+14	+3.2	39
4	Basel	23	11	6	6	+9	+13.3	39
5	Sion	23	8	10	5	+6	+4.2	34
6	Young Boys	23	9	6	8	-2	-0.7	33
7	Lausanne	23	7	8	8	+2	+6.0	29
8	Luzern	24	6	9	9	-2	-4.8	27
9	Servette	23	6	7	10	-7	+3.8	25
10	Zurich	23	7	4	12	-12	+1.5	25
11	Grasshoppers	24	4	8	12	-12	-13.4	20
12	Winterthur	22	3	5	14	-31	-14.1	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	11	7	2	2	+11	+2.2	23
2	Thun	11	7	1	3	+10	-1.0	22
3	Young Boys	11	6	2	3	+9	+6.5	20
4	Basel	12	5	4	3	+7	+16.1	19
5	Sion	12	5	4	3	+6	+1.1	19
6	St. Gallen	11	6	0	5	+7	+5.4	18
7	Lausanne	12	4	4	4	+3	+8.6	16
8	Zurich	11	4	1	6	-4	+5.0	13
9	Luzern	12	2	5	5	-1	+1.6	11
10	Grasshoppers	12	2	5	5	-1	-4.8	11
11	Servette	12	2	5	5	-5	+1.3	11
12	Winterthur	11	2	3	6	-7	-2.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	10	0	2	+14	+0.8	30
2	St. Gallen	11	6	3	2	+7	-2.2	21
3	Basel	11	6	2	3	+2	-2.8	20
4	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+0	-1.0	18
5	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-1	-6.4	16
6	Sion	11	3	6	2	+0	+3.1	15
7	Servette	11	4	2	5	-2	+2.5	14
8	Lausanne	11	3	4	4	-1	-2.6	13
9	Young Boys	12	3	4	5	-11	-7.2	13
10	Zurich	12	3	3	6	-8	-3.5	12
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	3	7	-11	-8.6	9
12	Winterthur	11	1	2	8	-24	-11.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.