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Puchar Polski

Referee: S Jarzebak

Lechia Zielona Góra

S S U T S

3–3

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Zielona Góra Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 55%

60%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

60%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Zielona Góra 23. · Widzew Lodz 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Ruch Chorzow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
9	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Polonia Bytom	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Korona Kielce	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Unia Skierniewice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Lech Poznań II	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Odra Opole	2	1	0	1	+4	3
19	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	ŁKS Łódź II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chojniczanka Chojnice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
4	Hutnik Kraków	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Podbeskidzie	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Unia Skierniewice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wigry Suwałki	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Kluczbork	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Legnica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Barycz Sułów	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Avia Świdnik	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Radunia Stężyca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Gornik Zabrze	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Elana Toruń	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Podhale Nowy Targ	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Grom Nowy Staw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Stal Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Podbeskidzie II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ruch Chorzow	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Piast Gliwice	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Lech Poznań II	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	ŁKS Łódź II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Polonia Bytom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Rakow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Cracovia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Unia Swarzędz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Jastrzębie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Star Starachowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.