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Copa del Rey
Referee: Gonzalo Romero
4–0
Full-time
Amorebieta
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barbastro Amorebieta
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Vic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
40 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
42 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 San Tirso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barbastro Amorebieta
I. Garcia 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Álex Carbonell
↦ Berto González
1–0 Adrià de Mesa
Jaime
55′
A. Ruiz 🔁
↦ Marc Prat
61′
Guille Alonso 🔁
↦ Javier Albín
61′
2–0 Sito Barrera
62′
3–0 Sito Barrera
69′
G. Iñigo 🔁
↦ Óscar Arroyo
70′
73′
🔁 Íñigo Muñoz
↦ Mauro Bravo
73′
🔁 Pablo Hervías
↦ Jon Aurtenetxe
73′
🔁 Kaxe
↦ Jordi Calavera
4–0 Adrià de Mesa
74′
Jurgi Oteo 🔁
↦ Adrià de Mesa
77′
Ángel Rueda 🔁
↦ Javito
77′
80′
🔁 Jonan Amelibia
↦ A. Coulibaly
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Barbastro

1 Arnau Fàbrega
22 Óscar Arroyo
21 Sito Barrera
7 Hugo Bautista
14 Dani Santigosa
8 Javito
3 Jaime
5 Israel García
18 Javier Albín
9 Adrià de Mesa
11 Marc Prat
Bench (8)
23 A. Ruiz
6 Guille Alonso
2 G. Iñigo
17 Jurgi Oteo
20 Ángel Rueda
4 Manu Castillo
10 Ander El Haddadi
12 José Damián

Coach: Daniel Martínez

Amorebieta

1 Unai Marino
15 Jon Aurtenetxe
23 Jordi Calavera
4 Mikel Kortazar
20 Enol Coto
22 Álvaro Yuste
18 A. Coulibaly
21 Álvaro Marín
10 Berto González
7 Daniel Selma
19 Mauro Bravo
Bench (8)
2 Álex Carbonell
17 Íñigo Muñoz
11 Pablo Hervías
9 Kaxe
5 Jonan Amelibia
14 N. Ben Hamed
3 Sergio Camacho
13 Gaizka Campos

Coach: Gorka Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.