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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Ross County
S T U U S
4–0
Full-time
Raith Rovers
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Raith Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 39/3 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
51%
100%
Both score Ø 73%
46%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +65 93
2 Rangers 38 27 4 7 +55 85
3 Hearts 38 20 8 10 +12 68
4 Kilmarnock 38 14 14 10 +2 56
5 Aberdeen 38 12 12 14 -4 48
6 St Mirren 38 13 8 17 -6 47
7 Hibernian 38 11 13 14 -7 46
8 Motherwell 38 10 13 15 -3 43
9 Dundee 38 10 12 16 -19 42
10 Ross County 39 9 11 19 -28 38
11 ST Johnstone 38 8 11 19 -25 35
12 Livingston 38 5 10 23 -41 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Raith Rovers
1–0 S. Murray
19′
V. Loturi 🔁
↦ E. King
34′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 J. White
Y. Dhanda
47′
54′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ R. Matthews
James Brown 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Dylan Easton
65′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ J. Mullin
3–0 S. Murray
J. White
75′
B. Khela 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
76′
78′
🔁 A. Connolly
↦ L. Vaughan
78′
🔁 J. Hamilton
↦ S. Byrne
4–0 B. Khela
86′
M. Efete 🔁
↦ J. Brown
87′
88′
🟨 Scott Brown
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ S. Murray
88′
S. Allardice 🔁
↦ C. Randall
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
35 W. Nightingale D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
4 J. Brown M
2 C. Randall M
18 E. King M
16 G. Harmon D
10 Y. Dhanda M
15 S. Murray F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
14 V. Loturi
19 B. Khela
24 M. Efete
17 J. Henderson
6 S. Allardice
40 G. Wickens
27 E. Brophy
43 J. Reid
11 J. Sims

Coach: D. Cowie

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
1 K. Dąbrowski G
8 R. Matthews M
15 D. Corr D
6 E. Murray D
3 L. Dick D
20 S. Brown M
21 S. Byrne M
14 J. Mullin M
16 S. Stanton M
23 D. Easton M
10 L. Vaughan F
Bench (9)
29 Z. Rudden
11 C. Smith
7 A. Connolly
19 J. Hamilton
17 R. Thomson
2 J. Brown
5 K. Watson
24 S. McGill
13 A. McNeil

Coach: I. Murray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.