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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
AIK
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Malmo FF
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 64%
71%
57%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
29%
14%
Both score Ø 14%
14%
14%
Average goals
2,1
1,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 3. · Malmo FF 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hammarby 7 5 1 1 +9 16
2 Malmo FF 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 AIK 7 5 0 2 +1 15
4 Hacken 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Mjallby 7 4 1 2 +3 13
6 Djurgarden 8 3 3 2 +5 12
7 Kalmar 7 4 0 3 +5 12
8 Elfsborg 7 3 2 2 +8 11
9 Goteborg 7 3 1 3 +1 10
10 Norrkoping 7 3 1 3 +1 10
11 Sirius 7 3 1 3 -6 10
12 Varberg 7 2 1 4 -5 7
13 Helsingborg 8 1 2 5 -4 5
14 Varnamo 7 1 2 4 -5 5
15 Sundsvall 7 1 0 6 -11 3
16 Degerfors 7 1 0 6 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Malmo FF
Nabil Bahoui 🟨
13′
1–0 J. Mendes
J. Larsson
17′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Diawara
↦ J. Dahlin
63′
🔁 S. Nanasi
↦ M. Abubakari
63′
🔁 J. Berget
↦ O. Toivonen
63′
🔁 M. Olsson
↦ H. Larsson
65′
🟨 Dennis Hadžikadunić
B. Mbunga-Kimpioka 🔁
↦ N. Bahoui
67′
A. Björnström 🔁
↦ N. Stefanelli
68′
75′
🔁 P. Sejdiu
↦ V. Birmančević
M. Lustig 🔁
↦ Z. Elbouzedi
76′
Sotirios Papagiannopoulos 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Martin Olsson
2–0 S. Larsson
87′
Y. Ayari 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
92′
P. Karlsson 🔁
↦ E. Otieno
92′
Bilal Hussein 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
23 B. Janošević G
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
5 A. Milošević D
25 E. Otieno D
2 J. Mendes D
7 S. Larsson M
10 N. Bahoui F
20 Z. Elbouzedi M
8 B. Hussein M
9 N. Stefanelli M
19 J. Larsson F
Bench (7)
22 B. Mbunga-Kimpioka
12 A. Björnström
33 M. Lustig
26 Y. Ayari
3 P. Karlsson
18 A. Ahmed Fatah
13 K. Stamatopoulos

Coach: B. Grzelak

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
2 E. Larsson D
21 D. Hadžikadunić D
23 M. Chaluš D
14 F. Beijmo D
8 S. Peña M
7 E. Rakip M
19 V. Birmančević F
31 H. Larsson M
11 O. Toivonen F
17 M. Abubakari F
Bench (7)
30 I. Diawara
37 S. Nanasi
32 J. Berget
13 M. Olsson
36 P. Sejdiu
18 R. Gall
3 J. Knudsen

Coach: M. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.