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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Sturm Graz
T T T S T
0–2
Full-time
LASK
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 52%
37%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
4 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 0
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 7. · LASK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 28 18 8 2 +62 62
2 LASK 27 18 4 5 +30 58
3 SK Rapid 28 15 7 6 +25 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 28 12 8 8 +21 44
5 Austria Vienna 28 9 11 8 +1 38
6 Hartberg 28 11 5 12 -18 38
7 Sturm Graz 27 10 5 12 -3 35
8 Altach 28 9 7 12 -6 34
9 Mattersburg 28 7 5 16 -26 26
10 Admira 28 5 9 14 -24 24
11 Tirol 28 6 6 16 -28 24
12 St. Polten 28 5 9 14 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz LASK
B. Balaj 🟨
2′
S. Hierlander 🔁
↦ T. Schrammel
27′
B. Balaj 🟨
31′
B. Balaj 🟥
31′
Half-time 0–0
I. Donkor 🟨
46′
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ T. Rocher
46′
47′
M. Raguz 0–1
58′
🔁 H. Balic
↦ S. Tetteh
58′
🔁 M. Raguz
↦ J. Klauss
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ C. Leitgeb
68′
I. Donkor 🟨
72′
I. Donkor 🟥
72′
76′
🔁 P. Filipovic
↦ A. Andrade
76′
🔁 D. Frieser
↦ D. Reiter
83′
S. Tetteh 0–2
P. Michorl
84′
🔁 J. Holland
↦ V. Muller
O. Kiteishvili 🔁
↦ P. Huspek
86′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

5-3-2
27 Jörg Siebenhandl G
25 Stefan Hierländer D
20 Isaac Donkor D
5 Tasos Avlonitis D
17 Lukas Jäger D
36 Vincent Trummer D
30 Ivan Ljubić M
21 Juan Dominguez M
10 Otar Kiteishvili M
11 Kiril Despodov F
9 Bekim Balaj F
Bench (7)
32 Tobias Schützenauer
4 Thomas Schrammel
29 Thorsten Röcher
24 Christoph Leitgeb
18 Philipp Huspek
13 Jakob Jantscher
19 Kevin Friesenbichler

Coach: N. El Maestro

LASK

3-4-3
1 Alexander Schlager G
15 Christian Ramsebner D
23 Stefan Haudum D
5 Petar Filipović D
26 Reinhold Ranftl M
25 James Holland M
8 Peter Michorl M
7 René Renner M
28 Dominik Frieser F
29 Marko Raguž F
14 Husein Balić F
Bench (7)
36 Thomas Gebauer
30 Andres Andrade
43 Nemanja Celic
19 Valentino Müller
11 Dominik Reiter
20 Samuel Tetteh
9 Klauss

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.