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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Bristol City
S U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Wigan
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Championship · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
23%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 14. · Wigan 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 31 20 9 2 +35 69
2 Sheffield United 30 18 7 5 +27 61
3 Middlesbrough 30 15 6 9 +15 51
4 Sunderland 30 13 8 9 +13 47
5 Luton 28 13 8 7 +8 47
6 Watford 32 12 11 9 +3 47
7 Millwall 30 13 7 10 +6 46
8 Norwich 31 13 6 12 +7 45
9 Blackburn 30 14 3 13 -4 45
10 West Brom 30 12 8 10 +7 44
11 Hull 32 11 8 13 -9 41
12 Reading 31 12 5 14 -11 41
13 Preston 30 11 7 12 -9 40
14 Bristol City 30 10 9 11 +1 39
15 Swansea 30 10 9 11 -2 39
16 QPR 32 10 9 13 -10 39
17 Coventry 29 10 8 11 -1 38
18 Birmingham 31 10 8 13 -4 38
19 Stoke 30 9 7 14 -5 34
20 Rotherham 31 7 12 12 -8 33
21 Cardiff 32 8 8 16 -12 32
22 Wigan 30 7 8 15 -21 29
23 Huddersfield 30 7 7 16 -11 28
24 Blackpool 30 6 10 14 -15 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Wigan
1–0 R. Atkinson
A. Mehmeti
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 W. Keane
↦ D. Sinani
46′
🔁 T. Pearce
↦ T. Darikwa
46′
🔁 C. Lang
↦ T. Aasgaard
N. Wells 🔁
↦ H. Cornick
61′
65′
A. Fletcher 1–1
M. Power
72′
🟨 Ryan Nyambe
M. Sykes 🔁
↦ A. Weimann
77′
S. Bell 🔁
↦ A. Scott
78′
79′
🔁 T. Naylor
↦ A. Fletcher
81′
🟨 Jack Whatmough
George Tanner 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 James McClean
Mark Sykes 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
12 M. O’Leary G
19 G. Tanner D
26 Z. Vyner D
5 R. Atkinson D
16 C. Pring D
6 M. James M
8 J. Williams M
14 A. Weimann M
7 A. Scott M
11 A. Mehmeti M
9 H. Cornick F
Bench (7)
21 N. Wells
17 M. Sykes
20 S. Bell
3 J. Dasilva
22 T. Kalas
10 A. King
23 N. Haikin

Coach: N. Pearson

Wigan

4-4-2
12 B. Amos G
27 T. Darikwa D
32 C. Hughes D
5 J. Whatmough D
2 R. Nyambe D
30 T. Aasgaard M
8 M. Power M
22 C. Tiéhi M
11 J. McClean M
25 D. Sinani F
23 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
10 W. Keane
3 T. Pearce
19 C. Lang
4 T. Naylor
29 S. Caulker
9 C. Wyke
1 James Jones

Coach: S. Maloney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,40
B
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,08
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.