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Championship
Referee: J Linington
Stoke
T S S T U
3–0
Full-time
Huddersfield
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — Championship · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
23%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
43%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
40%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Stoke 19. · Huddersfield 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 31 20 9 2 +35 69
2 Sheffield United 30 18 7 5 +27 61
3 Middlesbrough 30 15 6 9 +15 51
4 Sunderland 30 13 8 9 +13 47
5 Luton 28 13 8 7 +8 47
6 Watford 32 12 11 9 +3 47
7 Millwall 30 13 7 10 +6 46
8 Norwich 31 13 6 12 +7 45
9 Blackburn 30 14 3 13 -4 45
10 West Brom 30 12 8 10 +7 44
11 Hull 32 11 8 13 -9 41
12 Reading 31 12 5 14 -11 41
13 Preston 30 11 7 12 -9 40
14 Bristol City 30 10 9 11 +1 39
15 Swansea 30 10 9 11 -2 39
16 QPR 32 10 9 13 -10 39
17 Coventry 29 10 8 11 -1 38
18 Birmingham 31 10 8 13 -4 38
19 Stoke 30 9 7 14 -5 34
20 Rotherham 31 7 12 12 -8 33
21 Cardiff 32 8 8 16 -12 32
22 Wigan 30 7 8 15 -21 29
23 Huddersfield 30 7 7 16 -11 28
24 Blackpool 30 6 10 14 -15 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Huddersfield
1–0 P. Jagielka
W. Smallbone
13′
17′
🟨 Matthew Pearson
30′
🔁 M. Lowton
↦ M. Pearson
42′
🟨 Jonathan Hogg
Half-time 1–0
Ben Pearson 🟨
46′
47′
🟨 Jack Rudoni
51′
🟨 William Boyle
55′
🔁 J. Hungbo
↦ S. High
64′
🟨 William Boyle
64′
🟥 William Boyle
68′
🔁 D. Kasumu
↦ J. Hogg
68′
🔁 P. Jones
↦ M. Waghorn
2–0 J. Brown
73′
J. Thompson 🔁
↦ B. Pearson
75′
A. Tuanzebe 🔁
↦ P. Jagielka
82′
L. Baker 🔁
↦ W. Smallbone
82′
E. Tezgel 🔁
↦ D. Gayle
83′
Lewis Baker 🟨
91′
3–0 L. Baker
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 M. Šarkić G
20 D. Sterling D
16 B. Wilmot D
6 P. Jagielka D
3 M. Fox D
22 B. Pearson M
28 J. Laurent M
9 J. Brown M
18 W. Smallbone M
10 T. Campbell M
11 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
15 J. Thompson
5 A. Tuanzebe
8 L. Baker
37 E. Tezgel
13 J. Bonham
47 K. Reddin
48 G. Adebambo

Coach: A. Neil

Huddersfield

4-3-3
1 T. Vaclík G
4 M. Pearson D
32 T. Lees D
12 W. Boyle D
48 J. Headley D
22 J. Rudoni M
6 J. Hogg M
15 S. High M
10 J. Koroma F
49 M. Waghorn F
50 A. Knockaert F
Bench (7)
38 M. Lowton
16 J. Hungbo
18 D. Kasumu
26 P. Jones
14 J. Ruffels
41 N. Bilokapić
24 E. Camara

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,38
B
4,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.