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Süper Lig
Referee: A Akarsu
Antalyaspor
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 46%
26%
65%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
52%
57%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
65%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,87 xG 1,46
34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 14
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 14. · Fenerbahce 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 24 18 4 2 +40 +26.5 58
2 Fenerbahce 23 15 8 0 +31 +26.0 53
3 Trabzonspor 24 15 6 3 +20 +5.7 51
4 Besiktas 24 13 7 4 +16 +22.7 46
5 Goztep 24 11 9 4 +11 +2.3 42
6 Buyuksehyr 24 11 6 7 +16 +7.6 39
7 Samsunspor 23 7 10 6 -2 +5.8 31
8 Kocaelispor 24 8 6 10 -4 -0.9 30
9 Gaziantep 23 7 7 9 -10 -3.7 28
10 Rizespor 24 6 9 9 -4 -0.9 27
11 Alanyaspor 24 5 11 8 -4 -9.1 26
12 Genclerbirligi 24 6 6 12 -6 -10.7 24
13 Konyaspor 24 5 8 11 -10 -5.3 23
14 Antalyaspor 23 6 5 12 -14 -16.3 23
15 Eyüpspor 24 5 7 12 -16 -14.9 22
16 Kasimpasa 24 4 8 12 -15 -10.2 20
17 Kayserispor 24 3 11 10 -25 -11.7 20
18 Karagumruk 24 3 4 17 -24 -12.7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Fenerbahce
20′
🔁 M. Muldur
↦ N. Semedo
B. Balci 🔁
↦ L. Giannetti
28′
0–1 L. Mercan
own goal
43′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. van de Streek
B. Balci
49′
63′
S. Cherif 1–2
M. Asensio
D. Saric 🔁
↦ D. Sinik
68′
69′
V. Sari 2–2
own goal
74′
🔁 Fred
↦ I. Yuksek
74′
🔁 D. Nene
↦ K. Akturkoglu
S. Karakoc 🔁
↦ N. Storm
80′
A. Omur 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
81′
87′
🔁 A. Musaba
87′
🔁 A. Brown
↦ L. Mercan
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 Julian G
4 H. Turkmen D
89 V. Sari D
30 L. Giannetti D
3 K. Paal D
6 S. Dikmen M
23 J. Ceesay M
11 S. Ballet M
26 N. Storm M
70 D. Sinik M
22 S. van de Streek F
Bench (10)
21 A. Yigiter
88 D. Saric
14 G. Dzhikiya
5 B. Ozturk
7 B. Balci
2 S. Karakoc
17 E. Yesilyurt
77 Y. Boli
10 A. Omur
90 K. Kayaarasi

Coach: Erol Bulut

Fenerbahce

3-1-4-2
31 Ederson G
14 Y. E. Demir D
6 M. Guendouzi D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
17 N. Kante M
27 N. Semedo M
21 M. Asensio M
5 I. Yuksek M
22 L. Mercan M
26 S. Cherif F
9 K. Akturkoglu F
Bench (10)
34 M. Gunok
13 T. Cetin
7 Fred
18 M. Muldur
20 A. Musaba
3 A. Brown
70 O. Aydin
45 D. Nene
67 K. Uregen
54 A. Ekici

Coach: Domenico Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,16
U ✓
4,28
B
1,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Akarsu · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.