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Coupe de France
Referee: B Dechepy
Rouen
S S S
3–3
Full-time
Toulouse
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rouen Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coupe de France · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rouen 10. · Toulouse 60. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Le Puy Foot 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Valenciennes 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Rodez 4 3 0 1 +14 9
5 Romorantin 3 3 0 0 +11 9
6 Bergerac 4 3 0 1 +6 9
7 Saint-Priest 3 3 0 0 +6 9
8 Sochaux 3 3 0 0 +6 9
9 Racing Colombes 92 3 3 0 0 +4 9
10 Rouen 3 3 0 0 +4 9
11 Orleans 4 3 0 1 +3 9
12 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 3 0 0 +3 9
13 Chateauroux 3 2 1 0 +5 7
14 Trélissac 4 2 1 1 +4 7
15 Entente S St Gratien 3 2 1 0 +3 7
16 Paris FC 4 2 1 1 +2 7
17 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +2 7
18 Dunkerque 4 2 1 1 +1 7
19 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +12 6
20 Olympique d'Alès 3 2 0 1 +5 6
21 Chambly Thelle FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
22 Caen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
23 Quevilly Rouen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
24 Thionville Lusitanos 3 2 0 1 +4 6
25 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
26 Lyon Duchere 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Sarreguemines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
28 Amiens 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Feurs 3 2 0 1 +2 6
30 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
31 Libourne 3 2 0 1 +2 6
32 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +2 6
33 Angers 3 2 0 1 +2 6
34 Brest 2 2 0 0 +2 6
35 Dinan Léhon 3 2 0 1 +1 6
36 Dieppe 3 2 0 1 -1 6
37 Auxerre 3 1 2 0 +3 5
38 Bordeaux 4 1 2 1 +0 5
39 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +2 4
40 Cannes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Nice 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Union Cosnoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Epinal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Paimpol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Blagnac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 Avoine OCC 3 1 1 1 -1 4
51 Louhans-Cuiseaux 3 1 1 1 -1 4
52 Guingamp 3 1 1 1 -1 4
53 Chambéry 3 1 1 1 -2 4
54 Pontarlier 3 1 1 1 -2 4
55 Revel 3 1 1 1 -6 4
56 Lille 1 1 0 0 +12 3
57 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
58 Vitré 2 1 0 1 +4 3
59 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
60 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
61 Reims 1 1 0 0 +3 3
62 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
63 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
64 Villers Houlgate CF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
65 Nantes 2 1 0 1 +2 3
66 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
67 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
68 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
69 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
70 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
71 Le Havre 1 1 0 0 +1 3
72 Pontivy GSI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
73 Furiani-Agliani 2 1 0 1 +1 3
74 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 Castanet 2 1 0 1 +0 3
77 Ergué-Gaberic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
78 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
79 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
80 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
81 AG Caennaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
82 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
83 Panazol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
84 Villenave 2 1 0 1 -1 3
85 Biesheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
86 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
87 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 0 1 -1 3
88 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
89 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
90 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
91 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
92 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
93 Golden Lion 2 1 0 1 -11 3
94 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
95 Saint-Omer 3 0 2 1 -1 2
96 Fabrègues 3 0 2 1 -3 2
97 Challans 3 0 2 1 -4 2
98 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Stade Briochin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
117 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
118 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
119 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
120 Chaponnay-Marennes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
121 Blériot-Plage 2 0 1 1 -3 1
122 Moulien 2 0 1 1 -4 1
123 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
124 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
161 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
162 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
163 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
178 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
189 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
190 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
191 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
192 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
194 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
196 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
197 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rouen Toulouse
1–0 O. Bezzekhami ⚽
D. Loppy
16′
19′
⚽ V. Sierro 1–1
32′
⚽ Y. Gboho 1–2
C. Cásseres
43′
🟨 Ibrahim Cissoko
2–2 V. Sanson ⚽
43′
Half-time 2–2
60′
🔁 N. Skyttä
↦ I. Cissoko
60′
🔁 N. Schmidt
↦ C. Cásseres
63′
🟨 Stijn Spierings
3–2 S. Bouzamoucha ⚽
H. Benkaïd
64′
75′
🔁 César Gelabert
↦ S. Spierings
75′
🔁 S. Babicka
↦ Y. Gboho
M. Ouadah 🔁
↦ D. Loppy
77′
Leonard Aggoune 🟨
83′
A. Bernasque 🔁
↦ H. Benkaïd
87′
87′
🔁 N. Edjouma
↦ W. Kamanzi
Z. Allée 🔁
↦ M. Abdelmoula
88′
92′
⚽ R. Nicolaisen 3–3
V. Sierro
A. Sahloune 🔁
↦ L. Sy
97′
121′
⚽ G. Suazo 3–4
4–4 A. Sahloune ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ V. Sierro 4–5
5–5 C. Bassin ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ N. Schmidt 5–6
6–6 M. Benzia ⚽
126′
7–6 Z. Allée ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ T. Dallinga 7–7
129′
⚽ César Gelabert 7–8
8–8 M. Ouadah ⚽
130′
131′
⚽ N. Skyttä 8–9
9–9 V. Sanson ⚽
132′
133′
⚽ R. Nicolaisen 9–10
10–10 A. Bernasque ⚽
134′
135′
⚽ N. Edjouma 10–11
11–11 S. Bouzamoucha ⚽
136′
137′
⚽ S. Babicka 11–12
138′
⚽ C. Mawissa 11–13
12–13 O. Bezzekhami ⚽
139′
13–13 L. Aggoune ⚽
140′
141′
⚽ Álex Domínguez 13–14
14–14 R. Kabongo ⚽
142′
143′
❌ G. Suazo
penalty missed
15–14 A. Sahloune ⚽
144′
Full-time 15–14

Line-ups

Rouen

5-3-2
1 L. Aggoune G
7 L. Sy D
2 S. Bouzamoucha D
4 V. Sanson D
5 C. Bassin D
3 R. Kabongo D
11 M. Abdelmoula M
6 M. Benzia M
8 O. Bezzekhami M
9 D. Loppy F
10 H. Benkaïd F
Bench (9)
17 M. Ouadah
13 A. Bernasque
15 Z. Allée
18 A. Sahloune
12 M. Mion
19 N. Bensoula
20 E. Dia
14 F. Deschamps
16 A. Maraval

Coach: M. D'Ornano

Toulouse

4-3-3
1 Álex Domínguez G
6 W. Kamanzi D
5 C. Mawissa D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
3 G. Suazo D
8 V. Sierro M
11 C. Cásseres M
4 S. Spierings M
10 I. Cissoko F
9 T. Dallinga F
7 Y. Gboho F
Bench (9)
13 N. Skyttä
14 N. Schmidt
15 César Gelabert
12 S. Babicka
20 N. Edjouma
19 N. Wasbauer
16 G. Restes
18 Y. Aradj
17 N. Lahmadi

Coach: Carles Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.