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Süper Lig

Referee: E Özdamar

Ad. Demirspor

U S U U U

2–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

5,0

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

0,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

46%

23%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

54%

69%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

2,9

3,9

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 5. · Karagumruk 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	9	2	3	+20	29
2	Galatasaray	13	8	3	2	+13	27
3	Buyuksehyr	14	8	3	3	+6	27
4	Trabzonspor	14	7	5	2	+5	26
5	Ad. Demirspor	13	6	6	1	+10	24
6	Konyaspor	14	6	6	2	+7	24
7	Kayserispor	14	7	2	5	+5	23
8	Besiktas	13	6	4	3	+8	22
9	Alanyaspor	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Gaziantep	13	4	4	5	+0	16
11	Ankaragücü	14	4	4	6	-3	16
12	Antalyaspor	13	5	1	7	-4	16
13	Giresunspor	14	4	4	6	-7	16
14	Hatayspor	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Kasimpasa	14	4	3	7	-12	15
16	Sivasspor	15	3	5	7	-5	14
17	Karagumruk	13	3	4	6	-3	13
18	İstanbulspor	13	2	2	9	-14	8
19	Ümraniyespor	14	1	4	9	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	6	1	1	+11	19
2	Buyuksehyr	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	0	+5	15
4	Besiktas	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Kayserispor	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Alanyaspor	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Ad. Demirspor	5	3	2	0	+5	11
8	Konyaspor	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Galatasaray	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Antalyaspor	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Hatayspor	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Karagumruk	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	+0	8
15	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Giresunspor	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Kasimpasa	8	2	1	5	-10	7
18	Ümraniyespor	8	1	1	6	-6	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Ad. Demirspor	8	3	4	1	+5	13
3	Konyaspor	8	3	4	1	+5	13
4	Buyuksehyr	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Trabzonspor	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Fenerbahce	6	3	1	2	+9	10
7	Kayserispor	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Giresunspor	8	2	3	3	-6	9
9	Besiktas	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Gaziantep	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	İstanbulspor	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Antalyaspor	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Sivasspor	7	2	0	5	-5	6
16	Hatayspor	7	2	0	5	-7	6
17	Karagumruk	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Alanyaspor	7	1	2	4	-8	5
19	Ümraniyespor	6	0	3	3	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.