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Süper Lig
Referee: Bahattin Simsek
Karagumruk
T S U T T
3–0
Full-time
Kayserispor
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 29/28 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
59%
32%
Both score Ø 53%
66%
39%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 8. · Kayserispor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 28 20 3 5 +33 63
2 Galatasaray 29 19 4 6 +35 61
3 Fenerbahce 29 18 4 7 +23 58
4 Trabzonspor 29 15 7 7 +6 52
5 Alanyaspor 29 14 7 8 +20 49
6 Hatayspor 29 13 7 9 +12 46
7 Gaziantep 29 12 10 7 +10 46
8 Karagumruk 29 11 8 10 +5 41
9 Goztep 29 10 9 10 +4 39
10 Sivasspor 28 8 13 7 +0 37
11 Antalyaspor 29 7 15 7 -9 36
12 Konyaspor 28 8 9 11 -1 33
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 28 7 10 11 -4 31
14 Rizespor 28 7 10 11 -12 31
15 Kasimpasa 29 8 7 14 -13 31
16 Kayserispor 28 8 7 13 -13 31
17 Ankaragücü 28 8 5 15 -11 29
18 Buyuksehyr 29 7 8 14 -16 29
19 Erzurumspor 29 6 9 14 -19 27
20 Denizlispor 28 6 6 16 -24 24
21 Genclerbirligi 28 6 6 16 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Kayserispor
28′
🟨 Daniel Avramovski
1–0 J. Durmaz
L. Castro
33′
Half-time 1–0
Jure Balkovec 🟨
47′
Yannis Salibur 🟨
54′
2–0 L. Castro
J. Balkovec
58′
J. Lens 🔁
↦ L. Castro
59′
62′
🔁 E. Demir
↦ D. Avramovski
62′
🔁 B. Sabovic
↦ K. Muhar
E. Çolak 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
74′
78′
🔁 K. Luckassen
↦ J. Attamah
A. Ndao 🔁
↦ Y. Salibur
83′
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ F. Borini
83′
K. Altınay 🔁
↦ V. Hedenstad
83′
3–0 A. Sobiech
J. Lens
86′
88′
🔁 M. Okutan
↦ İ. Parlak
88′
🔁 N. Korkmaz
↦ A. Lennon
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
87 E. Zukanović D
26 V. Hedenstad D
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
6 L. Biglia M
71 J. Durmaz M
89 L. Castro M
91 A. Bertolacci M
19 Y. Salibur M
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
77 J. Lens
96 E. Çolak
18 A. Ndao
9 A. Sobiech
4 K. Altınay
3 A. Erdem
93 A. Özer
23 A. Aktaş
11 M. Erdinç
37 G. Campi

Coach: A. Canel

Kayserispor

4-2-3-1
16 D. Alemdar G
22 C. Săpunaru D
21 A. Behich D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
25 A. Lennon M
10 Pedro Henrique M
96 D. Avramovski M
3 J. Attamah M
20 R. Civelek D
73 K. Muhar M
23 İ. Parlak F
Bench (10)
14 E. Demir
44 B. Sabovic
42 K. Luckassen
24 M. Okutan
17 N. Korkmaz
36 T. Sarıarslan
1 İ. Çipe
13 Miguel Lopes
18 Z. Kvržić
32 Y. Subaşı

Coach: I. Ganchev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,91
B
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bahattin Simsek · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.