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Süper Lig
Referee: H Özkahya
Trabzonspor
T S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Denizlispor
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Denizlispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
64%
21%
Both score Ø 58%
79%
36%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Denizlispor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sivasspor 15 10 3 2 +18 33
2 Besiktas 15 8 3 4 +4 27
3 Trabzonspor 14 7 5 2 +12 26
4 Buyuksehyr 14 7 5 2 +8 26
5 Fenerbahce 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Galatasaray 15 6 6 3 +4 24
7 Yeni Malatyaspor 15 6 5 4 +12 23
8 Alanyaspor 15 6 5 4 +10 23
9 Goztep 15 5 5 5 -1 20
10 Gaziantep 15 5 5 5 -3 20
11 Denizlispor 14 5 3 6 -1 18
12 Genclerbirligi 15 4 5 6 -1 17
13 Rizespor 15 5 2 8 -11 17
14 Kasimpasa 15 4 3 8 -3 15
15 Konyaspor 14 3 5 6 -7 14
16 Antalyaspor 15 3 4 8 -13 13
17 Kayserispor 15 2 4 9 -19 10
18 Ankaragücü 15 2 4 9 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Denizlispor
0–1 O. Yılmaz
own goal
21′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Tiago Lopes
↦ Z. Bergdich
56′
🟨 Mustafa Yumlu
59′
🔁 O. Estupiñán
↦ O. Şahan
59′
H. Rodallega 0–2
I. Aissati
A. Parmak 🔁
↦ Y. Sarı
67′
C. Ekuban 🔁
↦ D. Sturridge
67′
82′
H. Rodallega 0–3
D. Avdijaj 🔁
↦ M. Obi
86′
92′
🔁 M. Mbamba
↦ H. Rodallega
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-4-1-1
1 U. Çakır G
47 João Pereira D
77 F. Novák D
22 G. Campi D
4 H. Türkmen D
12 M. Obi M
8 J. Sosa M
19 D. Sturridge F
9 A. Nwakaeme M
11 A. Sørloth F
20 Y. Sarı M
Bench (10)
61 A. Parmak
18 C. Ekuban
7 D. Avdijaj
16 E. Kardeşler
26 F. Üzüm
33 A. Dursun
21 D. Erdoğan
90 S. Asan
14 Ivanildo Fernandes
17 O. Onazi

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
33 A. Stachowiak G
5 M. Yumlu D
61 Z. Yavru D
21 Z. Bergdich D
15 O. Yılmaz D
10 I. Aissati M
70 O. Şahan M
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
77 Modou Barrow M
9 H. Sacko M
Bench (10)
2 Tiago Lopes
19 O. Estupiñán
6 M. Mbamba
24 B. Çalık
25 T. Acar
4 K. Kurt
20 R. Niyaz
11 S. Şahintürk
27 E. Sağlık
17 Mehmet Akyüz

Coach: M. Özdilek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,60
U
4,13
B ✓
5,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Özkahya · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.