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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Raith Rovers
S T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Ross County
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raith Rovers Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 2/38 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
21%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 73%
100%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 38 29 6 3 +65 93
2 Rangers 38 27 4 7 +55 85
3 Hearts 38 20 8 10 +12 68
4 Kilmarnock 38 14 14 10 +2 56
5 Aberdeen 38 12 12 14 -4 48
6 St Mirren 38 13 8 17 -6 47
7 Hibernian 38 11 13 14 -7 46
8 Motherwell 38 10 13 15 -3 43
9 Dundee 38 10 12 16 -19 42
10 ST Johnstone 38 8 11 19 -25 35
11 Ross County 38 8 11 19 -29 35
12 Livingston 38 5 10 23 -41 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raith Rovers Ross County
23′
🟨 Ryan Leak
Half-time 0–1
53′
Y. Dhanda 0–1
C. Smith 🔁
↦ J. Hamilton
68′
71′
J. Baldwin 0–2
Y. Dhanda
J. Mullin 🔁
↦ A. Connolly
77′
D. Easton 🔁
↦ L. Vaughan
77′
81′
🔁 M. Efete
↦ J. Brown
1–2 S. Stanton
R. Matthews
82′
87′
🔁 V. Loturi
↦ Y. Dhanda
94′
🔁 J. Sims
↦ S. Murray
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
1 K. Dąbrowski G
8 R. Matthews M
15 D. Corr D
6 E. Murray D
3 L. Dick D
20 S. Brown M
21 S. Byrne M
7 A. Connolly M
10 L. Vaughan F
16 S. Stanton M
19 J. Hamilton F
Bench (8)
11 C. Smith
14 J. Mullin
23 D. Easton
24 S. McGill
2 J. Brown
13 A. McNeil
29 Z. Rudden
17 R. Thomson

Coach: I. Murray

Ross County

3-4-1-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
35 W. Nightingale D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
4 J. Brown M
2 C. Randall M
18 E. King M
16 G. Harmon D
10 Y. Dhanda M
15 S. Murray F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
24 M. Efete
14 V. Loturi
11 J. Sims
27 E. Brophy
43 J. Reid
21 T. Jenks
17 J. Henderson
40 G. Wickens
19 B. Khela

Coach: D. Cowie

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.