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Premiership
Referee: C Graham
Partick
S S T U S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Partick Raith Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
83%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 27 6 3 +59 87
2 Rangers 37 27 3 7 +55 84
3 Hearts 36 20 6 10 +12 66
4 Kilmarnock 36 14 13 9 +7 55
5 St Mirren 36 13 7 16 -5 46
6 Aberdeen 36 11 11 14 -8 44
7 Motherwell 36 10 13 13 +1 43
8 Hibernian 36 10 12 14 -10 42
9 Dundee 37 10 11 16 -19 41
10 Ross County 36 8 9 19 -29 33
11 ST Johnstone 36 7 10 19 -26 31
12 Livingston 36 5 9 22 -37 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Partick Raith Rovers
Lewis Neilson 🟨
17′
Ben Stanway 🟨
20′
22′
S. Brown 0–1
40′
L. Vaughan 0–2
R. Matthews
Half-time 0–2
D. O'Reilly 🔁
↦ K. McInroy
55′
K. Ngwenya 🔁
↦ L. Neilson
55′
61′
🔁 C. Smith
↦ A. Connolly
S. Bannigan 🔁
↦ A. Muirhead
71′
B. Alston 🔁
↦ B. Stanway
71′
1–2 B. Alston
S. Robinson
72′
75′
🔁 D. Corr
↦ K. Watson
Scott Robinson 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 Z. Rudden
↦ L. Vaughan
80′
🔁 S. McGill
↦ S. Brown
Aidan Fitzpatrick 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Kyle Turner
R. Diack 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Partick

4-1-4-1
31 D. Mitchell G
2 J. McMillan D
19 L. McBeth
5 A. Muirhead D
3 H. Milne D
6 L. Neilson D
7 K. McInroy M
17 S. Robinson M
26 B. Stanway M
21 A. Fitzpatrick M
9 B. Graham F
Bench (9)
20 D. O'Reilly
12 K. Ngwenya
8 S. Bannigan
23 B. Alston
34 R. Diack
29 Z. Mackenzie
36 C. Campbell
25 R. Stewart
38 C. Loney

Coach: K. Doolan

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
1 K. Dąbrowski G
8 R. Matthews M
5 K. Watson D
6 E. Murray D
3 L. Dick D
20 S. Brown M
21 S. Byrne M
7 A. Connolly M
16 S. Stanton M
18 K. Turner M
10 L. Vaughan F
Bench (9)
11 C. Smith
15 D. Corr
29 Z. Rudden
24 S. McGill
13 A. McNeil
14 J. Mullin
19 J. Hamilton
2 J. Brown
23 D. Easton

Coach: I. Murray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Graham · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.