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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Paris FC
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Guingamp
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 6. · Guingamp 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bastia 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 Grenoble 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Lorient 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Metz 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Paris FC 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Amiens 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Dunkerque 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Annecy 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Pau FC 5 2 2 1 +3 8
11 Ajaccio 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Red Star 5 2 0 3 -5 6
13 Laval 5 1 2 2 +1 5
14 Clermont 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Caen 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Rodez 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Martigues 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Troyes 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Guingamp
1–0 J. López
J. Gaudin
10′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Siwe
↦ A. Sagna
50′
🟨 Lenny Vallier
59′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ H. Picard
59′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ K. Sidibé
A. Gory 🔁
↦ J. López
60′
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
71′
2–0 I. Kebbal
75′
78′
🔁 M. Riou
↦ D. Louiserre
A. Soumahoro 🔁
↦ M. Lopez
82′
T. Ollila 🔁
↦ J. Gaudin
82′
83′
🔁 L. Maronnier
↦ A. Sissoko
84′
🟨 Amine Hemia
Mathys Tourraine 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-3-1-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
39 M. Tourraine D
5 M. Mbow D
15 T. Kolodziejczak D
27 J. Gaudin D
8 L. Doucet M
21 M. Lopez M
17 A. Camara M
10 I. Kebbal M
12 N. Dicko F
20 J. López F
Bench (7)
7 A. Gory
29 P. Hamel
6 A. Soumahoro
2 T. Ollila
1 R. Riou
18 O. Sissoko
34 El Kit

Coach: S. Gilli

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
6 L. Vallier D
11 A. Sagna M
8 K. Sidibé M
4 D. Louiserre M
10 H. Picard M
13 A. Hemia F
9 B. Labeau F
Bench (7)
17 J. Siwe
21 R. Ghrieb
23 T. Luvambo
26 M. Riou
2 L. Maronnier
24 P. Lemonnier
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,07
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.