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Copa del Rey

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Cartagena

S U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Valencia

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

1,5

Scored

0,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

8 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cartagena 64. · Valencia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Celta	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Betis	3	2	0	1	+11	6
9	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Elche	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Ferrol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Castellon	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Lugo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Burgos	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Arandina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
25	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
26	Melilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Antequera	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Amorebieta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Cayón	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
62	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
63	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
64	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
65	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Linares Deportivo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
77	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
123	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Arandina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lugo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Castellon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Ferrol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
21	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
22	Melilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
31	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Sestao River	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Linares Deportivo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Arenteiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Elche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Antequera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Burgos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Cayón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
78	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
80	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Celta	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Betis	3	2	0	1	+11	6
8	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
9	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Valencia	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
50	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
56	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.