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Coupe de France
Referee: G Angoula
Chambéry
S S T S U
0–3
Full-time
Toulouse
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chambéry Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Romorantin 3 3 0 0 +11 9
3 Orleans 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Sochaux 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Racing Colombes 92 3 3 0 0 +4 9
7 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 3 0 0 +3 9
8 Chateauroux 3 2 1 0 +5 7
9 Trélissac 3 2 1 0 +5 7
10 Valenciennes 3 2 1 0 +4 7
11 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 +3 7
12 Entente S St Gratien 3 2 1 0 +3 7
13 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +2 7
14 Dunkerque 3 2 1 0 +2 7
15 Bergerac 2 2 0 0 +6 6
16 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
17 Olympique d'Alès 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 Chambly Thelle FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
19 Caen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 3 2 0 1 +5 6
21 Thionville Lusitanos 3 2 0 1 +4 6
22 Saint-Priest 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Feurs 2 2 0 0 +4 6
24 Dinan Léhon 2 2 0 0 +4 6
25 Lyon Duchere 3 2 0 1 +3 6
26 Sarreguemines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Libourne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
28 Amiens 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
30 Pau FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
31 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +2 6
32 Angers 3 2 0 1 +2 6
33 Rouen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
34 Auxerre 3 1 2 0 +3 5
35 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +1 5
36 Revel 2 1 1 0 +3 4
37 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Cannes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Union Cosnoise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Epinal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Paimpol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Blagnac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Sarre Union 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 Avoine OCC 3 1 1 1 -1 4
49 Guingamp 3 1 1 1 -1 4
50 Pontarlier 3 1 1 1 -2 4
51 Lille 1 1 0 0 +12 3
52 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Vitré 2 1 0 1 +4 3
54 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
55 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
56 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
57 Métropole Troyenne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
59 Villers Houlgate CF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
60 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
61 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
62 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
63 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
64 Montpellier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Le Havre 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Pontivy GSI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
67 Furiani-Agliani 2 1 0 1 +1 3
68 Brest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
69 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
70 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Castanet 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Ergué-Gaberic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
73 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
74 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
75 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 AG Caennaise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
77 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
78 Panazol 2 1 0 1 -1 3
79 Villenave 2 1 0 1 -1 3
80 Biesheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
81 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 0 1 -1 3
82 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 0 1 -1 3
83 RC Calais 2 1 0 1 -2 3
84 Saint-Meziery 2 1 0 1 -2 3
85 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
86 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
87 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
88 Golden Lion 2 1 0 1 -11 3
89 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
90 Saint-Omer 3 0 2 1 -1 2
91 Fabrègues 3 0 2 1 -3 2
92 Challans 3 0 2 1 -4 2
93 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Monaco 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Nice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Stade Briochin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
114 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
115 Saint-Denis 2 0 1 1 -2 1
116 Domerat 2 0 1 1 -3 1
117 Chaponnay-Marennes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
118 Blériot-Plage 2 0 1 1 -3 1
119 Moulien 2 0 1 1 -4 1
120 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
121 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Lorient 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
176 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
177 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
178 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
186 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
187 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
188 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
189 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
190 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
191 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
192 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
193 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
194 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.