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League Cup
Referee: Matthew Corlett
Middlesbrough
S T U T S
0–4
Full-time
Doncaster
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Doncaster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,49 xG 1,57
62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Middlesbrough Doncaster
11′
⚽ B. Close 0–1
B. Sharp
22′
⚽ D. Ajayi 0–2
Abdoulaye Kanté 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–2
47′
🟨 Jay McGrath
60′
🟨 Sean Grehan
D. Fry 🔁
↦ G. McCormick
60′
H. Hackney 🔁
↦ T. Conway
61′
A. Morris 🔁
↦ A. Kante
61′
65′
🔁 O. Bailey
↦ J. Sbarra
65′
🔁 L. Molyneux
↦ D. Ajayi
65′
🔁 G. Middleton
↦ J. Gibson
70′
🔁 J. Ironside
↦ B. Sharp
M. Hamilton 🔁
↦ L. McCabe
77′
M. Forss 🔁
↦ L. Ayling
78′
79′
🔁 C. O'Riordan
↦ J. McGrath
83′
🟨 Ben Close
84′
⚽ R. Gotts 0–3
L. Molyneux
90′
⚽ T. Nixon 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-4-2-1
23 T. Glover G
12 L. Ayling D
5 A. Jones D
30 Neto Borges D
2 C. Brittain M
42 A. Kante M
28 L. McCabe M
40 G. McCormick M
11 M. Whittaker F
10 D. Burgzorg F
9 T. Conway F
Bench (9)
31 S. Brynn
4 D. Barlaser
6 D. Fry
7 H. Hackney
14 A. Gilbert
17 M. Hamilton
18 A. Morris
21 M. Forss
39 S. Finch

Coach: Robert Owen Edwards

Doncaster

4-2-3-1
1 I. Lawlor G
16 T. Nixon D
27 S. Grehan D
6 J. McGrath D
23 J. Senior D
22 R. Gotts M
33 B. Close M
19 D. Ajayi
10 J. Sbarra M
11 J. Gibson M
14 B. Sharp F
Bench (9)
29 T. Lo-Tutala
3 J. Maxwell
4 O. Bailey
7 L. Molyneux
12 C. O'Riordan
17 G. Middleton
18 C. Crew
20 J. Ironside
24 Z. Westbrooke

Coach: Grant Samuel McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.