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Championship
Referee: Thomas Kirk
Stoke
T T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Preston
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 43%
45%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
45%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
36%
68%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,06 xG 0,59
58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 8. · Preston 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 22 14 6 2 +30 +20.1 48
2 Ipswich 23 10 8 5 +15 +18.9 38
3 Middlesbrough 20 11 5 4 +6 +6.0 38
4 Preston 22 9 9 4 +7 -4.0 36
5 Millwall 22 10 6 6 -4 +0.8 36
6 Hull 20 10 4 6 +3 -10.2 34
7 QPR 22 10 4 8 -2 +3.1 34
8 Stoke 22 10 3 9 +7 -4.6 33
9 Bristol City 22 9 6 7 +6 +0.6 33
10 Watford 22 8 8 6 +3 +5.8 32
11 Derby 23 8 8 7 +1 -6.2 32
12 Leicester 22 8 7 7 +0 -5.3 31
13 Southampton 21 8 6 7 +5 +9.8 30
14 Birmingham 23 8 6 9 +1 +11.0 30
15 Wrexham 22 6 10 6 +0 -7.1 28
16 West Brom 22 8 4 10 -4 +2.0 28
17 Charlton 21 7 6 8 -5 -8.8 27
18 Sheffield United 22 8 2 12 -3 +8.6 26
19 Swansea 22 7 5 10 -6 -7.1 26
20 Blackburn 21 7 4 10 -4 +7.0 25
21 Portsmouth 21 5 6 10 -10 -6.4 21
22 Oxford 22 4 7 11 -9 -5.9 19
23 Norwich 22 4 6 12 -10 -9.9 18
24 Sheffield Weds 21 1 6 14 -27 -18.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Preston
16′
🟨 Pol Valentín
B. Gibson 🔁
↦ A. Cresswell
40′
Half-time 0–0
Ben Wilmot 🟨
54′
62′
🟨 Alistair McCann
67′
🔁 J. Thompson
↦ A. McCann
72′
🔁 A. Devine
↦ D. Jebbison
72′
🔁 M. Frokjaer-Jensen
↦ H. Armstrong
R. Bozenik 🔁
↦ D. Mubama
77′
84′
🔁 J. Lewis
↦ T. Small
S. Gallagher 🔁
↦ J. Bae
86′
Ben Pearson 🟨
91′
Ben Gibson 🟨
91′
Róbert Boženík 🟨
96′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
18 B. Lawal
26 A. Phillips D
16 B. Wilmot D
3 A. Cresswell D
12 T. Seko M
4 B. Pearson M
42 M. Manhoef M
10 J. Bae M
7 S. Thomas M
9 D. Mubama F
Bench (9)
13 J. Bonham
40 M. Talovierov
23 B. Gibson
15 S. N'Zonzi
19 T. Rigo
14 J. Donley
29 L. Cisse
20 S. Gallagher
11 R. Bozenik

Coach: Mark Robins

Preston

3-5-2
1 D. Iversen G
42 O. Offiah D
14 J. Storey D
16 A. Hughes D
2 P. Valentin M
5 H. Armstrong M
4 B. Whiteman M
8 A. McCann M
26 T. Small M
24 M. Smith F
9 D. Jebbison F
Bench (9)
12 J. Walton
6 L. Lindsay
18 J. Lewis
44 B. Potts
15 J. Thompson
35 N. Mawene
21 A. Devine
10 M. Frokjaer-Jensen
7 W. Keane

Coach: Paul Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,22
B
3,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Thomas Kirk · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.