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Championship
Referee: James Bell
Middlesbrough
T S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Blackburn
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 44%
55%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
43%
Both score Ø 56%
60%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,75 xG 1,23
53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 3. · Blackburn 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 22 14 6 2 +30 +20.1 48
2 Ipswich 23 10 8 5 +15 +18.9 38
3 Middlesbrough 20 11 5 4 +6 +6.0 38
4 Preston 22 9 9 4 +7 -4.0 36
5 Millwall 22 10 6 6 -4 +0.8 36
6 Hull 20 10 4 6 +3 -10.2 34
7 QPR 22 10 4 8 -2 +3.1 34
8 Stoke 22 10 3 9 +7 -4.6 33
9 Bristol City 22 9 6 7 +6 +0.6 33
10 Watford 22 8 8 6 +3 +5.8 32
11 Derby 23 8 8 7 +1 -6.2 32
12 Leicester 22 8 7 7 +0 -5.3 31
13 Southampton 21 8 6 7 +5 +9.8 30
14 Birmingham 23 8 6 9 +1 +11.0 30
15 Wrexham 22 6 10 6 +0 -7.1 28
16 West Brom 22 8 4 10 -4 +2.0 28
17 Charlton 21 7 6 8 -5 -8.8 27
18 Sheffield United 22 8 2 12 -3 +8.6 26
19 Swansea 22 7 5 10 -6 -7.1 26
20 Blackburn 21 7 4 10 -4 +7.0 25
21 Portsmouth 21 5 6 10 -10 -6.4 21
22 Oxford 22 4 7 11 -9 -5.9 19
23 Norwich 22 4 6 12 -10 -9.9 18
24 Sheffield Weds 21 1 6 14 -27 -18.1 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Blackburn
G. Edmundson 🔁
↦ A. Jones
17′
Alexander Gilbert 🟨
31′
32′
🟨 Ryoya Morishita
Half-time 0–0
D. Fry 🔁
46′
S. Nypan 🔁
↦ M. Hamilton
46′
47′
🔁 M. Baradji
↦ R. Morishita
57′
🟨 Moussa Baradji
A. Browne 🔁
↦ A. Gilbert
67′
A. Bangura 🔁
↦ M. Targett
73′
76′
🔁 H. Pickering
↦ R. Hedges
76′
🔁 T. Gardner-Hickman
↦ S. Tronstad
Hayden Hackney 🟨
80′
92′
🔁 N. Dlamini
↦ A. Henriksson
93′
🔁 Y. Ribeiro
↦ T. Cantwell
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-2-2
31 S. Brynn G
2 C. Brittain D
12 L. Ayling D
5 A. Jones D
3 M. Targett D
14 A. Gilbert M
7 H. Hackney M
11 M. Whittaker M
17 M. Hamilton M
13 D. Strelec F
9 T. Conway F
Bench (9)
33 J. McLaughlin
6 D. Fry
10 D. Burgzorg
16 A. Browne
19 S. Nypan
20 M. K. Sene
24 A. Bangura
25 G. Edmundson
27 S. Hansen

Coach: Kim Hellberg

Blackburn

3-4-1-2
1 A. Pears G
12 L. Miller D
15 S. McLoughlin D
43 G. Pratt D
40 M. Litherland M
25 R. Morishita M
6 S. Tronstad M
19 R. Hedges M
10 T. Cantwell F
18 A. Henriksson F
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
35 N. Michalski
3 H. Pickering
4 Y. Ribeiro
38 T. Atcheson
5 T. Gardner-Hickman
24 M. Baradji
14 D. De Neve
47 A. Doherty
52 N. Dlamini

Coach: Valerien Ismael

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U ✓
3,60
B
4,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

James Bell · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.