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Champions League
Referee: P Raczkowski
Liverpool
S T S T U
4–0
Full-time
Galatasaray
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 56%
67%
45%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
56%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
45%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4,88 xG 0,18
62% Possession 38%
32 Shots 4
16 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 11
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Mar -26 Galatasaray – Liverpool 1–0 30. Sep -25 Galatasaray – Liverpool 1–0

Match report

Liverpool Galatasaray
1–0 D. Szoboszlai ⚽
A. Mac Allister
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Sane
↦ V. Osimhen
46′
🔁 N. Lang
↦ S. Boey
2–0 H. Ekitike ⚽
M. Salah
51′
3–0 R. Gravenberch ⚽
53′
Wilfried Singo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
60′
🔁 Y. Akgun
↦ L. Torreira
4–0 M. Salah ⚽
F. Wirtz
62′
C. Jones 🔁
↦ J. Frimpong
67′
73′
🔁 E. Elmali
↦ A. Bardakci
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ M. Salah
74′
80′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦
F. Chiesa 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
89′
T. Nyoni 🔁
↦ R. Gravenberch
89′
R. Ngumoha 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-1-2
1 Alisson G
30 J. Frimpong D
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
6 M. Kerkez D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
38 R. Gravenberch M
7 F. Wirtz M
10 A. Mac Allister M
22 H. Ekitike F
11 M. Salah F
Bench (11)
28 F. Woodman
25 G. Mamardashvili
14 F. Chiesa
18 C. Gakpo
17 C. Jones
68 K. Morrison
65 A. Nallo
26 A. Robertson
2 J. Gomez
42 T. Nyoni
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Arne Slot

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
93 S. Boey D
90 W. Singo D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
7 R. Sallai M
8 Gabriel Sara M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
19 G. Guvenc
12 B. Sen
20 I. Gundogan
10 L. Sane
11 Y. Akgun
17 E. Elmali
33 G. Gurpuz
23 K. Ayhan
9 M. Icardi
77 N. Lang
21 A. Kutucu
22 Y. Asprilla

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.