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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Tottenham
T T T T U
3–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
56%
91%
Both score Ø 62%
33%
91%
Average goals
3,4
4,5
Scored
2,1
2,6
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,45 xG 1,04
51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 18
11 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tottenham Ath Madrid
28′
🟨 Matteo Ruggeri
1–0 R. Kolo Muani
M. Tel
30′
Half-time 1–1
47′
J. Alvarez 1–1
A. Lookman
2–1 X. Simons
A. Gray
52′
56′
🟨 Ademola Lookman
Pedro Porro 🟨
57′
Guglielmo Vicario 🟨
58′
63′
🔁 A. Sorloth
↦ A. Lookman
64′
🔁 Koke
↦ N. Molina
D. Udogie 🔁
↦ R. Dragusin
66′
Cristian Romero 🟨
70′
Destiny Udogie 🟨
72′
L. Bergvall 🔁
↦ P. Porro
74′
75′
D. Hancko 2–2
J. Alvarez
K. Danso 🔁
↦ C. Romero
81′
C. Gallagher 🔁
↦ A. Gray
81′
C. Olusesi 🔁
↦ M. Tel
81′
84′
🔁 N. Gonzalez
↦ J. Alvarez
84′
🔁 A. Baena
↦ A. Griezmann
87′
🔁 J. M. Gimenez
↦ G. Simeone
3–2 X. Simons
90′
92′
🟨 Alexander Sørloth
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 G. Vicario G
3 R. Dragusin D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
24 D. Spence D
14 A. Gray M
29 P. M. Sarr M
23 P. Porro M
7 X. Simons M
11 M. Tel M
39 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
40 B. Austin
31 A. Kinsky
57 R. Kyerematen
76 J. Rowswell
4 K. Danso
22 C. Gallagher
13 D. Udogie
15 L. Bergvall
52 C. Olusesi

Coach: Igor Tudor

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
1 J. Musso G
16 N. Molina D
24 R. Le Normand D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
14 M. Llorente M
5 J. Cardoso M
22 A. Lookman M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
33 M. de Luis
31 S. Esquivel
6 Koke
9 A. Sorloth
2 J. M. Gimenez
23 N. Gonzalez
21 O. Vargas
15 C. Lenglet
10 A. Baena
11 T. Almada
18 M. Pubill
34 J. Diaz

Coach: Diego Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.