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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Stefanski

Radomiak Radom

S T S U U

0–2

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 36%

37%

35%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

74%

40%

Both score Ø 62%

74%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,81 xG 0,35

73% Possession 27%

24 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 2

10 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

12 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Radomiak Radom 9. · Korona Kielce 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	19	10	5	4	+13	-2.7	35
2	Wisla Plock	20	8	9	3	+9	+2.9	33
3	Gornik Zabrze	20	10	3	7	+5	-2.5	33
4	Zaglebie	20	8	7	5	+6	+0.5	31
5	Cracovia	20	8	7	5	+5	+3.5	31
6	Rakow	20	9	3	8	+2	+3.9	30
7	Lechia Gdansk	20	8	5	7	+2	-1.6	29
8	Lech Poznan	20	7	8	5	+1	+11.7	29
9	Radomiak Radom	19	7	6	6	+5	+0.1	27
10	Korona Kielce	20	7	6	7	+2	-1.1	27
11	Piast Gliwice	20	7	5	8	+1	-6.8	26
12	GKS Katowice	19	8	2	9	-2	-7.8	26
13	Motor Lublin	20	5	9	6	-7	-2.7	24
14	Pogon Szczecin	20	6	4	10	-5	+8.8	22
15	Arka Gdynia	19	6	4	9	-17	-6.4	22
16	Legia	20	4	8	8	-3	+2.4	20
17	Widzew Lodz	20	6	2	12	-5	+2.9	20
18	Nieciecza	20	5	5	10	-12	-4.9	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	11	7	3	1	+10	+4.9	24
2	Gornik Zabrze	11	7	1	3	+10	+3.2	22
3	Arka Gdynia	10	6	3	1	+4	-3.3	21
4	Radomiak Radom	9	6	2	1	+15	+5.4	20
5	Zaglebie	10	5	4	1	+11	+4.2	19
6	Jagiellonia	8	6	0	2	+10	+0.6	18
7	Lechia Gdansk	10	5	3	2	+9	+2.4	18
8	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	2	3	+6	+8.4	17
9	Cracovia	9	4	4	1	+5	+5.7	16
10	GKS Katowice	10	5	1	4	+1	-3.3	16
11	Motor Lublin	10	3	6	1	+2	+3.9	15
12	Piast Gliwice	10	4	3	3	+2	-1.7	15
13	Korona Kielce	10	4	2	4	+2	+2.4	14
14	Widzew Lodz	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.7	14
15	Legia	10	3	4	3	+3	+1.9	13
16	Lech Poznan	10	3	4	3	-1	+8.1	13
17	Rakow	10	3	3	4	-1	+1.7	12
18	Nieciecza	10	2	2	6	-8	-2.9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	10	6	0	4	+3	+2.2	18
2	Jagiellonia	11	4	5	2	+3	-3.3	17
3	Lech Poznan	10	4	4	2	+2	+3.6	16
4	Cracovia	11	4	3	4	+0	-2.2	15
5	Korona Kielce	10	3	4	3	+0	-3.6	13
6	Nieciecza	10	3	3	4	-4	-2.0	12
7	Zaglebie	10	3	3	4	-5	-3.8	12
8	Piast Gliwice	10	3	2	5	-1	-5.1	11
9	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	2	4	-5	-5.8	11
10	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-7	-3.9	11
11	GKS Katowice	9	3	1	5	-3	-4.5	10
12	Wisla Plock	9	1	6	2	-1	-2.0	9
13	Motor Lublin	10	2	3	5	-9	-6.6	9
14	Legia	10	1	4	5	-6	+0.4	7
15	Radomiak Radom	10	1	4	5	-10	-5.4	7
16	Widzew Lodz	10	2	0	8	-6	+0.3	6
17	Pogon Szczecin	10	1	2	7	-11	+0.4	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.