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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybył

Piast Gliwice

S S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

42%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

26%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

39%

61%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Piast Gliwice 5. · Korona Kielce 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	31	22	5	4	+40	71
2	Legia	31	17	9	5	+15	60
3	Pogon Szczecin	31	15	9	7	+7	54
4	Lech Poznan	31	14	10	7	+15	52
5	Piast Gliwice	31	13	7	11	+5	46
6	Warta Poznan	31	12	8	11	+4	44
7	Cracovia	31	11	9	11	+4	42
8	Gornik Zabrze	31	11	8	12	+0	41
9	Widzew Lodz	31	11	8	12	-3	41
10	Jagiellonia	31	9	13	9	+5	40
11	Stal Mielec	31	10	9	12	-3	39
12	Radomiak Radom	31	10	8	13	-6	38
13	Korona Kielce	31	10	8	13	-8	38
14	Zaglebie	31	10	8	13	-12	38
15	Wisla Plock	31	10	7	14	-3	37
16	Slask Wroclaw	31	7	11	13	-15	32
17	Lechia Gdansk	31	7	5	19	-26	26
18	Legnica	31	4	10	17	-19	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	14	1	0	+33	43
2	Legia	15	10	5	0	+15	35
3	Wisla Plock	16	8	4	4	+8	28
4	Pogon Szczecin	15	8	4	3	+5	28
5	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Korona Kielce	16	8	3	5	+3	27
7	Cracovia	15	7	5	3	+11	26
8	Lech Poznan	16	8	2	6	+8	26
9	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Stal Mielec	15	5	6	4	+3	21
11	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Piast Gliwice	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Widzew Lodz	15	5	3	7	-2	18
14	Slask Wroclaw	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Radomiak Radom	16	4	4	8	-5	16
16	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	4	8	-8	16
17	Legnica	16	3	6	7	-7	15
18	Zaglebie	16	3	5	8	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	16	8	4	4	+7	28
2	Piast Gliwice	16	8	3	5	+4	27
3	Lech Poznan	15	6	8	1	+7	26
4	Pogon Szczecin	16	7	5	4	+2	26
5	Legia	16	7	4	5	+0	25
6	Zaglebie	15	7	3	5	-3	24
7	Warta Poznan	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	Widzew Lodz	16	6	5	5	-1	23
9	Radomiak Radom	15	6	4	5	-1	22
10	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+1	21
11	Stal Mielec	16	5	3	8	-6	18
12	Cracovia	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Slask Wroclaw	16	3	5	8	-11	14
14	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
15	Korona Kielce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	15	3	1	11	-18	10
17	Wisla Plock	15	2	3	10	-11	9
18	Legnica	15	1	4	10	-12	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.