Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Wisla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | +24 | 41 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | +21 | 40 |
| 3 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +12 | 36 |
| 4 |
Rakow
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +14 | 35 |
| 5 |
Radomiak Radom
|
19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | +12 | 35 |
| 6 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 31 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |
Stal Mielec
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 |
Cracovia
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 |
Jagiellonia
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 |
Piast Gliwice
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -9 | 21 |
| 14 |
Zaglebie
|
20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Leczna | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 |
Legia
|
19 | 6 | 0 | 13 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 |
Warta Poznan
|
20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -10 | 17 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rakow
Jagiellonia
Rakow
Gornik Zabrze
Rakow
Piast Gliwice
Lechia Gdansk
Rakow
Rakow
Zaglebie
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.