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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Vasteras SK

T U S T S

2–0

Full-time

Degerfors

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

36%

18%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 69%

73%

64%

Average goals

3,9

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,39 xG 1,26

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vasteras SK 11. · Degerfors 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	+17	+7.7	29
2	Hammarby	12	6	2	4	+12	+8.5	20
3	Hacken	12	5	5	2	+3	+3.8	20
4	Elfsborg	12	4	6	2	+4	+0.1	18
5	AIK	12	5	3	4	-2	-8.1	18
6	Djurgarden	10	5	1	4	+8	+3.3	16
7	GAIS	12	4	4	4	+5	+3.2	16
8	Mjallby	12	4	4	4	+2	+1.6	16
9	Malmo FF	11	5	1	5	+1	+2.1	16
10	Brommapojkarna	11	4	4	3	-1	-2.3	16
11	Vasteras SK	11	4	3	4	-3	-1.9	15
12	Kalmar	11	4	1	6	-1	+2.6	13
13	Degerfors	11	2	4	5	-5	-6.0	10
14	Goteborg	11	2	4	5	-10	-0.1	10
15	Orgryte	12	2	3	7	-17	-6.4	9
16	Halmstad	11	1	3	7	-13	-8.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Kalmar	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.1	13
4	Elfsborg	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.3	12
5	GAIS	6	3	2	1	+8	+0.5	11
6	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+1	+2.3	11
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Malmo FF	5	2	0	3	+2	+2.8	6
9	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+1	+2.4	6
10	Orgryte	6	1	3	2	-1	-0.9	6
11	AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	-2.1	6
12	Brommapojkarna	4	1	2	1	+0	-4.0	5
13	Halmstad	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.5	5
14	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.3	5
15	Vasteras SK	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.3	3
16	Goteborg	5	0	2	3	-4	+0.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	4	1	0	+8	+1.8	13
2	AIK	7	3	3	1	+2	-6.0	12
3	Vasteras SK	6	4	0	2	-1	-1.6	12
4	Brommapojkarna	7	3	2	2	-1	+1.7	11
5	Mjallby	7	2	4	1	+1	-0.8	10
6	Malmo FF	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.7	10
7	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
8	Hacken	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.5	9
9	Goteborg	6	2	2	2	-6	-1.0	8
10	Hammarby	6	2	1	3	-3	+1.5	7
11	Elfsborg	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.4	6
12	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
13	GAIS	6	1	2	3	-3	+2.7	5
14	Orgryte	6	1	0	5	-16	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	5	0	1	4	-8	-2.7	1
16	Kalmar	5	0	0	5	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.