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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Elfsborg

S U U U U

1–2

Full-time

Hammarby

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

36%

45%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

73%

55%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,77 xG 2,41

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 10

3 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 3. · Hammarby 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	+17	+7.7	29
2	Hacken	10	5	5	0	+6	+3.3	20
3	Elfsborg	11	4	6	1	+5	+1.8	18
4	Hammarby	11	5	2	4	+11	+6.9	17
5	Mjallby	11	4	4	3	+3	-1.9	16
6	Malmo FF	11	5	1	5	+1	+2.1	16
7	GAIS	11	4	3	4	+5	+1.0	15
8	Brommapojkarna	10	4	3	3	-1	-0.1	15
9	Vasteras SK	11	4	3	4	-3	-1.9	15
10	AIK	11	4	3	4	-3	-4.6	15
11	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
12	Kalmar	11	4	1	6	-1	+2.6	13
13	Degerfors	11	2	4	5	-5	-6.0	10
14	Goteborg	11	2	4	5	-10	-0.1	10
15	Halmstad	11	1	3	7	-13	-8.2	6
16	Orgryte	11	1	3	7	-18	-5.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Kalmar	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.1	13
4	Elfsborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.4	12
5	GAIS	6	3	2	1	+8	+0.5	11
6	Hacken	5	3	2	0	+3	+2.3	11
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Malmo FF	5	2	0	3	+2	+2.8	6
9	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
10	AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	-2.1	6
11	Halmstad	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.5	5
12	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.3	5
13	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
14	Vasteras SK	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.3	3
15	Orgryte	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.4	3
16	Goteborg	5	0	2	3	-4	+0.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	4	1	0	+8	+1.8	13
2	Vasteras SK	6	4	0	2	-1	-1.6	12
3	Brommapojkarna	7	3	2	2	-1	+1.7	11
4	Mjallby	7	2	4	1	+1	-0.8	10
5	Malmo FF	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.7	10
6	Hacken	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.0	9
7	AIK	6	2	3	1	+1	-2.5	9
8	Goteborg	6	2	2	2	-6	-1.0	8
9	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
10	Elfsborg	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.4	6
11	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
12	GAIS	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.6	4
13	Hammarby	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.1	4
14	Orgryte	6	1	0	5	-16	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	5	0	1	4	-8	-2.7	1
16	Kalmar	5	0	0	5	-7	+1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.