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Allsvenskan
Referee: Adam Ladeback
Norrkoping
S T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Mjallby
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 57%
40%
73%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
70%
73%
Both score Ø 72%
70%
73%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,45 xG 1,49
42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norrkoping 9. · Mjallby 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 11 8 2 1 +14 +0.7 26
2 AIK 12 7 5 0 +8 +1.0 26
3 Elfsborg 11 8 1 2 +12 +6.5 25
4 Hammarby 11 6 3 2 +11 +7.4 21
5 Malmo FF 12 5 4 3 +6 +8.7 19
6 Goteborg 11 5 1 5 -2 -0.0 16
7 GAIS 11 3 6 2 +2 +3.4 15
8 Hacken 11 4 3 4 -1 +1.5 15
9 Norrkoping 10 4 1 5 +0 -4.1 13
10 Degerfors 10 4 1 5 -3 -0.7 13
11 Djurgarden 10 3 3 4 -6 -1.0 12
12 Brommapojkarna 10 3 1 6 -3 +0.4 10
13 Halmstad 11 3 1 7 -15 -8.4 10
14 Sirius 11 2 3 6 -5 -6.1 9
15 Oster 11 2 2 7 -7 -5.0 8
16 Varnamo 11 0 3 8 -11 -4.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norrkoping Mjallby
15′
🔁 U. Charles
↦ T. Stavitski
Axel Bronner 🟨
17′
40′
🟨 Jacob Bergström
Moutaz Neffati 🟨
41′
43′
L. Thorell 0–1
N. Rojkjaer
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Uba Charles
Kojo Peprah Oppong 🟨
51′
I. Lushaku 🔁
↦ A. Bronner
60′
J. Ceesay 🔁
↦ A. Fransson
60′
T. Prica 🔁
↦ D. Karlsson
60′
73′
🔁 B. Bang-Kittilsen
↦ L. Thorell
73′
🔁 A. Johansson
↦ J. Bergstrom
82′
🔁 L. Tidstrand
82′
🔁 R. Arrhenius
↦ A. Manneh
1–1 A. Traustason
85′
K. Jansson 🔁
↦ M. Baggesen
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norrkoping

4-2-3-1
40 D. Andersson G
37 M. Neffati D
19 M. Watson D
2 K. Peprah D
3 M. Baggesen D
7 A. Fransson M
20 A. Bronner M
10 D. Karlsson M
9 A. Traustason M
8 I. Sigurgeirsson M
15 S. Jorgensen F
Bench (9)
30 T. Krantz
4 A. Sogaard
11 I. Lushaku
14 Y. Kalley
21 J. Ceesay
22 T. Prica
24 A. Eriksson
25 K. Jansson
28 A. Andersson

Coach: Martin Falk

Mjallby

3-4-2-1
1 N. Tornqvist G
14 H. Johansson D
4 A. Noren D
24 T. Pettersson D
17 E. Stroud M
22 J. Gustavsson M
10 N. Rojkjaer M
11 T. Stavitski M
6 L. Thorell F
19 A. Manneh F
18 J. Bergstrom F
Bench (7)
35 A. Lundin
15 B. Bang-Kittilsen
16 A. Johansson
25 A. Miftari
26 U. Charles
27 L. Tidstrand
39 R. Arrhenius

Coach: Anders Torstensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adam Ladeback · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.