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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Varnamo

S T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Kalmar

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

6 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 11. · Kalmar 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	8	1	0	+17	25
2	Hacken	9	6	1	2	+14	19
3	Elfsborg	8	6	1	1	+13	19
4	Norrkoping	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Brommapojkarna	9	5	1	3	+0	16
6	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+0	13
7	Mjallby	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Halmstad	9	4	0	5	-7	12
9	Kalmar	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Hammarby	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Varnamo	8	3	0	5	-3	9
12	Degerfors	9	3	0	6	-14	9
13	Goteborg	9	1	4	4	+1	7
14	AIK	9	1	3	5	-6	6
15	Sirius	9	0	5	4	-8	5
16	Varberg	9	0	4	5	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Hacken	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Djurgarden	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Elfsborg	4	3	0	1	+10	9
6	Degerfors	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Mjallby	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Varnamo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	+4	5
14	AIK	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Varberg	5	0	3	2	-8	3
16	Sirius	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Norrkoping	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Brommapojkarna	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Kalmar	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	Sirius	5	0	4	1	-3	4
8	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Varnamo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
10	Halmstad	4	1	0	3	-8	3
11	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	Varberg	4	0	1	3	-5	1
13	AIK	5	0	1	4	-5	1
14	Djurgarden	5	0	1	4	-7	1
15	Hammarby	5	0	1	4	-8	1
16	Degerfors	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.