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Superligaen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Brondby
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Lyngby
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Lyngby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
42%
5%
Points per game
1,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
58%
32%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
47%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
1,9
0,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
18 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 7. · Lyngby 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 20 11 7 2 +15 +10.1 40
2 Midtjylland 20 12 3 5 +10 +1.5 39
3 Aarhus 20 9 8 3 +20 +7.7 35
4 Randers FC 20 8 8 4 +11 +9.5 32
5 Silkeborg 20 8 8 4 +10 +2.0 32
6 Nordsjaelland 20 9 5 6 +2 +7.1 32
7 Brondby 19 8 7 4 +12 +7.9 31
8 Viborg 20 6 6 8 -2 -6.0 24
9 Aalborg 20 4 6 10 -18 -14.9 18
10 Sonderjyske 20 4 4 12 -22 -12.8 16
11 Lyngby 19 1 8 10 -13 -4.0 11
12 Vejle 20 2 4 14 -25 -8.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Lyngby
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Thelander
↦ C. Winther
46′
🔁 F. Gytkjær
↦ M. Opoku
57′
F. Gytkjær 0–1
L. Lissens
58′
ℹ️ Frederik Gytkjær
VAR: Goal confirmed
C. Bischoff 🔁
↦ M. Divković
61′
66′
🔁 L. Sandgrav
↦ J. Cornelius
69′
🟨 Magnus Jensen
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ S. Klaiber
74′
75′
🔁 A. Andersson
↦ O. Buur
84′
🟨 Rasmus Thelander
B. Tahirović 🔁
↦ N. Vallys
87′
F. Bundgaard 🔁
↦ M. Rajović
88′
90′
🔁 M. Rømer
↦ M. Hebo
1–1 J. Vanlerberghe
93′
96′
🟨 Leon Klassen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brondby

4-3-3
1 P. Pentz G
31 S. Klaiber D
32 F. Alves D
4 J. Rasmussen D
24 M. Divković D
35 N. Nartey M
10 D. Wass M
7 N. Vallys M
28 Y. Suzuki F
17 M. Rajović F
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
Bench (9)
37 C. Bischoff
30 J. Vanlerberghe
8 B. Tahirović
11 F. Bundgaard
5 R. Lauritsen
43 L. Larsen
6 S. Spierings
16 T. Mikkelsen
38 J. Ambæk

Coach: F. Christensen

Lyngby

4-1-4-1
32 J. Storch G
2 O. Buur D
12 M. Jensen D
5 L. Lissens D
20 L. Klassen D
22 P. Langhoff M
21 S. Magnússon M
13 C. Winther M
8 M. Hebo M
15 M. Opoku M
18 J. Cornelius F
Bench (9)
6 R. Thelander
26 F. Gytkjær
14 L. Sandgrav
23 A. Andersson
30 M. Rømer
19 G. Fraulo
17 J. Amon
9 M. Abubakari
40 J. Ægidius

Coach: M. Karlsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.