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Superligaen
Referee: Sandi Putros
Aalborg
T T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Aarhus
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
35%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
53%
35%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalborg 11. · Aarhus 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 17 10 5 2 +16 35
2 Viborg 17 9 5 3 +9 32
3 FC Copenhagen 17 8 3 6 +8 27
4 Silkeborg 17 7 3 7 +2 24
5 Odense 17 6 6 5 -2 24
6 Randers FC 17 6 6 5 -3 24
7 Midtjylland 17 5 8 4 +2 23
8 Aarhus 17 6 4 7 +1 22
9 Horsens 17 6 4 7 +0 22
10 Brondby 17 5 6 6 -5 21
11 Aalborg 17 3 5 9 -11 14
12 Lyngby 17 1 5 11 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Sep -22 Aarhus – Aalborg 3–1 18. Oct -21 Aarhus – Aalborg 1–0 8. Aug -21 Aalborg – Aarhus 2–0 28. May -21 Aarhus – Aalborg 1–1 20. Dec -20 Aarhus – Aalborg 3–0

Match report

Aalborg Aarhus
Half-time 0–0
Malthe Højholt 🟨
56′
65′
⚽ M. Anderson 0–1
Y. Bakiz 🔁
↦ A. Poulsen
66′
Kasper Jørgensen 🟨
69′
73′
🔁 J. Duin
↦ S. Haugen
74′
🔁 T. Mølgaard
↦ T. Thiesson Kristensen
A. Ementa 🔁
↦ N. Helenius
77′
M. Ramkilde 🔁
↦ L. Prip
77′
84′
🟨 Mikael Anderson
A. Hagelskjær 🔁
↦ M. Højholt
87′
Allan Sousa 🔁
↦ K. Ludewig
87′
89′
🟨 Nicolai Poulsen
93′
🔁 O. Lund
↦ G. Links
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aalborg

4-2-3-1
22 T. Sander G
20 K. Jørgensen D
26 R. Thelander D
5 D. Granli D
25 A. Poulsen D
14 M. Højholt M
6 Pedro Ferreira M
18 L. Prip M
10 L. Andersen M
32 K. Ludewig M
17 N. Helenius F
Bench (9)
23 Y. Bakiz
19 A. Ementa
29 M. Ramkilde
15 A. Hagelskjær
7 Allan Sousa
38 O. Ross
2 K. Pallesen
8 I. Fossum
40 N. Mantl

Coach: E. Hamrén

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
5 F. Tingager D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
8 M. Anderson M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
11 G. Links M
10 S. Haugen F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
18 J. Duin
14 T. Mølgaard
15 O. Lund
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
42 J. Andersen
28 A. Daghim
29 F. Brandhof
17 Kevin Yakob
20 M. Duelund

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sandi Putros · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.