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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adi Aganovic

GAIS

S S U S T

3–0

Full-time

Kalmar

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 32%

30%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,16 xG 1,22

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 8. · Kalmar 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	8	1	0	+14	+7.7	25
2	Elfsborg	11	4	6	1	+5	+1.8	18
3	Hammarby	10	5	2	3	+12	+6.9	17
4	Hacken	9	4	5	0	+5	+3.3	17
5	Mjallby	10	4	3	3	+3	-1.9	15
6	Brommapojkarna	9	4	2	3	-1	-1.1	14
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+6	+3.3	13
8	GAIS	10	3	3	4	+2	+1.1	12
9	AIK	9	3	3	3	-1	-3.7	12
10	Vasteras SK	9	3	3	3	-4	-5.2	12
11	Kalmar	9	3	1	5	-1	+2.6	10
12	Malmo FF	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.2	10
13	Degerfors	9	2	3	4	-4	-2.1	9
14	Goteborg	9	1	4	4	-10	-1.0	7
15	Halmstad	9	1	3	5	-8	-3.4	6
16	Orgryte	10	1	3	6	-15	-5.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.9	15
2	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+15	+7.0	13
3	Elfsborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.4	12
4	Kalmar	5	3	1	1	+3	+1.1	10
5	GAIS	5	2	2	1	+5	+0.5	8
6	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
7	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.1	6
9	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
10	Halmstad	5	1	2	2	-3	-2.2	5
11	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
12	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
13	Malmo FF	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.3	3
14	Vasteras SK	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.3	3
15	Orgryte	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.4	3
16	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brommapojkarna	6	3	1	2	-1	+0.7	10
3	Hacken	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.0	9
4	Mjallby	6	2	3	1	+1	-0.8	9
5	Vasteras SK	5	3	0	2	-3	-4.9	9
6	Malmo FF	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.5	7
7	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
8	Elfsborg	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.4	6
9	AIK	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.5	6
10	Degerfors	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.3	5
11	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-7	-1.0	5
12	GAIS	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.6	4
13	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.1	4
14	Orgryte	5	1	0	4	-13	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.