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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Storks

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Bielefeld

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

59%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,42 xG 0,31

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. · Bielefeld 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Schalke 04	17	12	1	4	+12	+5.0	37
2	Elversberg	17	10	4	3	+16	-2.8	34
3	Darmstadt	17	9	6	2	+12	+7.0	33
4	Paderborn	17	10	3	4	+10	+7.3	33
5	Hannover	17	8	5	4	+8	+4.9	29
6	Hertha	17	8	4	5	+5	-1.9	28
7	Kaiserslautern	17	8	3	6	+8	+1.3	27
8	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	-4	-0.9	22
9	Karlsruhe	17	6	4	7	-8	-13.9	22
10	Bochum	17	6	3	8	+1	+4.4	21
11	Holstein Kiel	17	5	5	7	-2	-6.3	20
12	Preußen Münster	17	5	5	7	-4	-0.7	20
13	Braunschweig	17	6	2	9	-9	+2.1	20
14	Bielefeld	17	5	4	8	+3	+0.7	19
15	Magdeburg	17	5	2	10	-8	+2.9	17
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	5	2	10	-12	-4.6	17
17	Greuther Furth	17	4	3	10	-18	-4.1	15
18	Dresden	17	3	4	10	-10	-0.5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Darmstadt	9	6	3	0	+10	+8.7	21
2	Schalke 04	8	7	0	1	+6	+2.5	21
3	Kaiserslautern	9	6	1	2	+10	+4.3	19
4	Elversberg	8	5	3	0	+10	-1.4	18
5	Paderborn	9	5	1	3	+2	+3.1	16
6	Nurnberg	9	4	3	2	+1	-0.5	15
7	Karlsruhe	8	5	0	3	+0	-6.4	15
8	Preußen Münster	9	3	5	1	+3	+0.2	14
9	Hertha	9	4	2	3	-1	+0.3	14
10	Bielefeld	9	4	1	4	+7	+6.0	13
11	Bochum	8	4	1	3	+3	+6.6	13
12	Hannover	8	4	1	3	+1	+4.3	13
13	Holstein Kiel	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.6	11
14	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-5	+4.3	11
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	2	5	-7	-2.6	8
16	Greuther Furth	8	2	2	4	-9	-2.2	8
17	Magdeburg	8	2	1	5	-4	+4.0	7
18	Dresden	8	1	2	5	-4	+3.3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	5	2	1	+8	+4.1	17
2	Hannover	9	4	4	1	+7	+0.6	16
3	Elversberg	9	5	1	3	+6	-1.5	16
4	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+6	+2.5	16
5	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+6	-2.3	14
6	Darmstadt	8	3	3	2	+2	-1.7	12
7	Magdeburg	9	3	1	5	-4	-1.1	10
8	Holstein Kiel	9	2	3	4	-3	-5.6	9
9	Braunschweig	8	3	0	5	-4	-2.2	9
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	0	5	-5	-2.0	9
11	Bochum	9	2	2	5	-2	-2.1	8
12	Kaiserslautern	8	2	2	4	-2	-3.0	8
13	Dresden	9	2	2	5	-6	-3.8	8
14	Nurnberg	8	2	1	5	-5	-0.4	7
15	Karlsruhe	9	1	4	4	-8	-7.5	7
16	Greuther Furth	9	2	1	6	-9	-1.9	7
17	Bielefeld	8	1	3	4	-4	-5.2	6
18	Preußen Münster	8	2	0	6	-7	-0.9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.