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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Rodez
U T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Le Mans
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
28%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 12. · Le Mans 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 18 11 5 2 +15 38
2 Reims 18 9 5 4 +13 32
3 St Etienne 18 9 4 5 +10 31
4 Le Mans 18 8 7 3 +5 31
5 Dunkerque 18 8 6 4 +12 30
6 Red Star 17 8 5 4 +5 29
7 Pau FC 18 7 6 5 -2 27
8 Guingamp 18 7 5 6 -2 26
9 Montpellier 18 7 4 7 +0 25
10 Annecy 18 6 4 8 +2 22
11 Clermont 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Rodez 18 5 7 6 -5 22
13 Grenoble 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Nancy 18 6 3 9 -6 21
15 Amiens 18 5 3 10 -6 18
16 Boulogne 18 4 4 10 -11 16
17 Laval 18 3 6 9 -12 15
18 Bastia 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Le Mans
15′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ A. Rabillard
Half-time 0–0
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ A. Trouillet
58′
63′
🔁 L. Calodat
↦ M. Hamdi
63′
🔁 E. Colas
↦ D. Gueye
M. Saka 🔁
↦ J. Mendes
74′
T. Arconte 🔁
↦ K. Nagera
74′
76′
🔁 M. Rossignol
↦ E. Quarshie
1–0 I. Balde
E. Jean-Lambert
84′
H. Tebily 🔁
↦ I. Balde
85′
L. Laurent 🔁
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
86′
88′
T. Eyoum 1–1
Tairyk Arconte 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Nicolas Kocik
97′
🟨 Samuel Yohou
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
27 A. Trouillet M
6 J. Mendes M
26 S. Benchamma M
9 K. Nagera F
18 I. Balde F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
24 L. Laurent
8 W. Younoussa
28 M. Saka
11 T. Arconte
19 H. Tebily

Coach: Didier Santini

Le Mans

5-3-2
98 N. Kocik G
12 A. Ribelin D
3 I. Cossier D
21 T. Eyoum D
17 S. Yohou D
26 M. Hamdi D
24 M. Robin M
8 A. Lauray M
6 E. Quarshie M
25 D. Gueye F
9 A. Rabillard F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
15 N. Boisse
31 I. Hammoudi
27 M. Rossignol
18 L. Calodat
28 E. Colas
5 T. Luvambo

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U ✓
3,20
B
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.