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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Watford
U T S U T
2–3
Full-time
Huddersfield
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Championship · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
36%
44%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

75% Possession 25%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 10. · Huddersfield 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 +45 84
2 Sheffield United 38 22 7 9 +26 73
3 Middlesbrough 38 20 7 11 +26 67
4 Luton 37 18 11 8 +13 65
5 Millwall 40 17 11 12 +8 62
6 Blackburn 38 19 4 15 +0 61
7 Norwich 39 16 9 14 +10 57
8 West Brom 39 15 11 13 +6 56
9 Preston 39 15 11 13 -7 56
10 Watford 39 14 13 12 +3 55
11 Coventry 37 14 11 12 +5 53
12 Sunderland 37 14 10 13 +7 52
13 Stoke 39 14 9 16 +7 51
14 Bristol City 39 12 13 14 -1 49
15 Swansea 39 13 10 16 -5 49
16 Birmingham 39 13 9 17 -7 48
17 Hull 39 12 12 15 -10 48
18 Reading 39 13 7 19 -18 46
19 Rotherham 39 10 14 15 -8 44
20 QPR 39 11 9 19 -22 42
21 Cardiff 38 10 9 19 -14 39
22 Huddersfield 39 10 9 20 -19 39
23 Wigan 39 8 13 18 -25 37
24 Blackpool 39 8 11 20 -20 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Huddersfield
Ryan Porteous 🟨
14′
1–0 Y. Asprilla
João Pedro
32′
44′
J. Rudoni 1–1
Half-time 1–1
J. Ngakia 🔁
↦ João Ferreira
46′
João Pedro 🟨
54′
55′
M. Pearson 1–2
J. Rudoni
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ I. Koné
56′
I. Sarr 🔁
↦ C. Cathcart
57′
60′
🟨 David Kasumu
H. Kamara 🔁
↦ Y. Asprilla
66′
68′
🔁 S. High
↦ R. Edmonds-Green
82′
🔁 K. Harratt
↦ D. Ward
82′
K. Harratt 1–3
J. Koroma
2–3 B. Assombalonga
I. Sarr
92′
Hamza Choudhury 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Jonathan Hogg
Daniel Bachmann 🟨
97′
Daniel Bachmann 🟨
97′
Daniel Bachmann 🟥
97′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Watford

3-4-2-1
1 D. Bachmann G
22 R. Porteous D
15 C. Cathcart D
44 W. Hoedt D
13 João Ferreira M
4 H. Choudhury M
6 I. Louza M
12 K. Sema M
18 Y. Asprilla F
11 I. Koné F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (7)
2 J. Ngakia
34 B. Assombalonga
23 I. Sarr
14 H. Kamara
27 C. Kabasele
26 B. Hamer
25 L. Bacuna

Coach: C. Wilder

Huddersfield

3-4-1-2
1 T. Vaclík G
32 T. Lees D
39 M. Helik D
4 M. Pearson D
23 R. Edmonds-Green M
6 J. Hogg M
18 D. Kasumu M
14 J. Ruffels M
22 J. Rudoni F
25 D. Ward F
10 J. Koroma F
Bench (7)
15 S. High
36 K. Harratt
30 B. Jackson
9 J. Rhodes
38 M. Lowton
41 N. Bilokapić
35 B. Diarra

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U
3,62
B ✓
5,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.